Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Charlton Athletic v Sheffield United

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Charlton Athletic (Local)

Predicción 30.67%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.34%30.69%30.69%32.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.983.003.2036.36%33.51%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sheffield United (Visitante)

Predicción 42.04%2.38momio equitativo
EV +0.896%
Ventaja +0.373%
Kelly +0.640%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.70%41.95%42.06%44.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.232.252.4051.81%44.89%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.29%3.66momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -0.876%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%27.36%27.25%28.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.383.383.5531.75%29.62%29.63%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Charlton Athletic (Local): 30.67%; Sheffield United (Visitante): 42.04%; Empate: 27.29%. Para Sheffield United (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.38. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.896%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV +0.896%E +0.373%K +0.640%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV +0.896%E +0.373%K +0.640%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV +0.896%E +0.373%K +0.640%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -2.47%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 18:40
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -2.47%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -2.47%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 18:39
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -2.47%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 18:40
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -2.47%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.86%E -0.583%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -11.68%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 18:40
1xBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.99%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 18:40
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 18:40
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.64%EV -9.84%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.16%EV -4.99%E -2.21%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.20%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 19:23
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 17:55
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 19:25
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -15.66%E -5.70%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.03%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 18:40
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.40%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 17:55
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.11%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 17:59
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 17:55
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 19:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 19:25
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:59
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 19:25
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 19:23
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 17:53
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 18:40
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 17:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 19:29
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 19:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -13.82%E -6.74%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.43%EV -15.08%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -10.75%E -3.29%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -15.66%E -5.70%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 42.76%EV -16.76%E -8.47%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.46%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-31 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.34%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.08%EV -18.86%E -9.77%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.59%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-31 17:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 29.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.92%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%13.1%2026-10-31 17:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 32.23%2.13I 46.95%NM 39.80%3.03I 33.00%NM 27.97%18.0%2026-10-31 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45