La escuela de los momios

Bristol City v Norwich City

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Bristol City 2–4 Norwich City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bristol City (Local)

Predicción 34.10%2.93momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -0.988%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.04%34.14%34.16%35.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.742.752.8539.22%36.50%36.36%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Norwich City (Visitante)

Predicción 38.19%2.62momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.567%
Kelly -0.926%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.33%38.19%38.09%38.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.452.452.5844.05%40.83%40.82%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.71%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.77%27.67%27.75%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.363.353.5131.75%29.74%29.85%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -2.81%E -0.988%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.28%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 13:39
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -2.81%E -0.988%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.28%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 13:39
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -2.81%E -0.988%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.28%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.81%E -0.988%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.32%EV -3.84%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -2.75%E -0.783%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.60%EV -3.84%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.52%EV -6.05%E -2.46%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:50
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.60%EV -3.84%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.52%EV -6.05%E -2.46%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:50
NordicBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.80%EV -4.18%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.84%EV -4.14%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:20
Betsson2.81I 35.59%NM 33.80%EV -4.18%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.84%EV -4.14%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:20
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:20
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.14%EV -4.90%E -1.97%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:39
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:39
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:39
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:40
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.52%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:19
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.77%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.60%EV -1.46%E -0.567%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -2.75%E -0.783%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 13:50
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:49
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:49
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:20
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:38
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.94%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.25%EV -8.84%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:00
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:20
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -6.91%E -2.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.05%E -2.46%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:48
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:39
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:40
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:49
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:20
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:19
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:39
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.76%EV -9.40%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:38
Bovada2.69I 37.17%NM 34.22%EV -8.27%E -3.07%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:48
BetUS2.69I 37.17%NM 34.22%EV -8.27%E -3.07%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -9.63%E -3.64%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -9.63%E -3.64%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.63%E -3.64%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.02%E -0.864%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:30
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 13:00
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.10%EV -13.04%E -5.12%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.30%EV -13.30%E -5.86%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-04-18 13:40