La escuela de los momios

Blackburn Rovers v Portsmouth

Inicio: 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Blackburn Rovers (Local)

Predicción 35.69%2.80momio equitativo
EV -0.072%
Ventaja -0.026%
Kelly -0.040%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.75%35.74%35.68%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.372.592.602.8042.19%38.61%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portsmouth (Visitante)

Predicción 33.27%3.01momio equitativo
EV +0.809%
Ventaja +0.267%
Kelly +0.399%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.01%33.24%33.30%34.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.832.853.0340.00%35.39%35.09%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.04%3.22momio equitativo
EV -0.669%
Ventaja -0.209%
Kelly -0.304%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%31.02%31.02%32.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.023.003.2038.46%33.14%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.59%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.01%EV +0.809%E +0.267%K +0.399%G +0.003%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.40%EV -0.979%E -0.307%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.94%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.628%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 12:00
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.79%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.59%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.62%EV -4.39%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 12:10
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.79%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.59%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.62%EV -4.39%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 12:09
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.32%EV -2.21%E -0.808%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.32%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 12:20
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.88%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 12:17
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 12:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 12:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 12:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -12.56%E -5.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.669%E -0.209%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -12.56%E -5.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.669%E -0.209%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -12.56%E -5.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.669%E -0.209%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 11:19
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.93%EV -6.50%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 12:23
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:43
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:44
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -6.50%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 11:59
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 12:00
Betsson2.66I 37.59%NM 35.69%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.19%EV -4.85%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:20
NordicBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.69%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.19%EV -4.85%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.61%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.90%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 11:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 11:29
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 11:29
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:59
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 08:44
GTbets2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.31%EV -5.84%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.11%EV -5.95%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:20
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 11:29
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:10
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 12:25
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:10
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:25
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 12:20
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:30
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -6.14%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -7.51%E -2.70%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -6.26%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:30
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 35.24%EV -6.50%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -8.17%E -2.96%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:20
BetUS2.62I 38.17%NM 35.24%EV -6.50%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -8.17%E -2.96%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:19
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 12:19
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -6.50%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:06
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -12.56%E -5.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.63%EV -15.42%E -6.51%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -8.51%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.93%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 12:19
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.50%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.17%E -3.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:10
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -10.17%E -3.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.56%E -5.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -11.83%E -4.47%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -13.50%E -5.19%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -16.19%E -6.00%K -9.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 12:00
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -14.35%E -5.98%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -16.82%E -6.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.02%EV -19.29%E -7.42%K -12.06%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-07 12:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-03-07 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-03-07 12:24
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.95%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.7%2026-03-07 12:10
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-03-07 12:25