La escuela de los momios

Viborg FF v SonderjyskE

Inicio: 2026-05-08 17:02 UTC

Final: Viborg FF 0–1 SonderjyskE

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viborg FF (Local)

Predicción 60.75%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.972%
Ventaja -0.596%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.81%60.63%60.89%61.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.541.531.6370.92%65.14%65.36%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SonderjyskE (Visitante)

Predicción 18.61%5.37momio equitativo
EV +0.146%
Ventaja +0.027%
Kelly +0.033%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.64%18.72%18.47%20.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.824.805.3823.26%20.76%20.83%18.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.63%4.85momio equitativo
EV -0.760%
Ventaja -0.158%
Kelly -0.199%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.75%20.64%20.64%21.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.434.404.8123.81%22.59%22.73%20.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.62%E -2.94%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.93%EV +0.146%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.62%EV -3.44%E -0.735%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 16:59
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.83%E -3.76%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -0.413%E -0.077%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:59
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -5.83%E -3.76%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -0.413%E -0.077%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:59
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.67%EV -5.83%E -3.76%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -2.27%E -0.433%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -2.00%E -0.421%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 16:59
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -5.22%E -3.35%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -2.27%E -0.433%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 16:59
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -6.44%E -4.18%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -3.20%E -0.616%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.16%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -6.44%E -4.18%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -3.20%E -0.616%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.16%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:00
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.65%E -5.04%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.14%E -0.803%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -6.12%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.51%EV -0.972%E -0.596%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -6.93%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 17:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.51%EV -0.972%E -0.596%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -6.93%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 16:59
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.93%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:59
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -7.65%E -5.04%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.93%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -7.65%E -5.04%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -6.93%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.16%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 16:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.93%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:59
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.87%E -5.91%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.93%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.16%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:58
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.87%E -5.91%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.93%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 17:00
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.06%EV -2.19%E -1.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.42%EV -7.30%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.53%EV -2.82%E -0.599%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 16:59
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 60.84%EV -8.26%E -5.47%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.79%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.16%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.69%EV -7.65%E -5.04%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.71%EV -9.72%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -13.35%E -3.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 17:00
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.50%EV -4.62%E -2.94%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -0.760%E -0.158%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -5.83%E -3.76%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:59
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -5.22%E -3.35%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.16%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:57
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -4.62%E -2.94%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -4.62%E -2.94%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -4.62%E -2.94%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -4.62%E -2.94%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -4.62%E -2.94%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -5.22%E -3.35%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:59
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -7.65%E -5.04%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.16%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 16:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:59
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -2.79%E -1.75%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:59
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.28%EV -6.44%E -4.18%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 17:00
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.28%EV -5.22%E -3.35%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -10.25%E -2.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:59
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.28%EV -5.22%E -3.35%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -10.25%E -2.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -5.83%E -3.76%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -10.25%E -2.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:00
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.36%EV -8.87%E -5.91%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 17:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.87%E -5.91%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 17:00
Suprabets1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -3.40%E -2.14%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -12.51%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.48%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -12.51%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.28%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:59
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.24%EV -7.65%E -5.04%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -12.31%E -2.90%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -7.65%E -5.04%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -5.09%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 17:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 17:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -7.05%E -4.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -10.66%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:59
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -8.87%E -5.91%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -13.35%E -3.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:00
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.48%EV -10.08%E -6.81%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -13.35%E -3.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.79%EV -10.69%E -7.27%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.68%EV -12.31%E -2.90%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 60.93%EV -14.34%E -10.17%K -34.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.09%EV -16.24%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.98%EV -11.28%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.68%EV -11.30%E -7.74%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.58%EV -17.17%E -3.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -13.35%E -3.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 16:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 59.69%EV -12.52%E -8.69%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.85%EV -19.40%E -4.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -13.35%E -3.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -10.08%E -6.81%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -19.96%E -4.64%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -9.22%E -2.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-05-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-05-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-05-08 17:00
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-05-08 17:00
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.57%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52%1.5%2026-05-08 17:00