La escuela de los momios

Viborg FF v FC Midtjylland

Inicio: 2026-03-22 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viborg FF (Local)

Predicción 29.76%3.36momio equitativo
EV -0.316%
Ventaja -0.094%
Kelly -0.134%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.77%29.74%31.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.3535.71%32.17%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Midtjylland (Visitante)

Predicción 44.61%2.24momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.90%44.63%44.60%46.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.052.052.1652.63%48.90%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.64%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.338%
Kelly -0.457%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%25.60%25.66%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.643.8532.26%27.76%27.47%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -0.316%E -0.094%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.39%EV -7.66%E -3.70%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -1.30%E -0.338%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 18:55
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -0.316%E -0.094%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.39%EV -7.66%E -3.70%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -1.30%E -0.338%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 18:54
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -1.21%E -0.364%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:55
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.87%EV -1.21%E -0.364%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.43%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:55
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.80%E -0.547%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -9.89%E -4.90%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:55
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.80%E -0.547%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -9.89%E -4.90%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:55
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.80%E -0.547%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -9.89%E -4.90%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:55
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.80%E -0.547%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -9.89%E -4.90%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:52
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.80%E -0.547%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -9.89%E -4.90%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:55
GTbets3.29I 30.40%NM 29.34%EV -2.10%E -0.639%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.11%EV -4.54%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -3.10%E -0.819%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 18:10
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:54
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:25
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:25
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:55
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.77%EV -3.65%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.38%EV -2.33%E -0.611%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 18:55
1xBet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.62%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 18:49
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -12.12%E -6.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.78%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -12.57%E -6.41%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:55
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 18:50
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:55
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:54
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:54
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -6.27%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -13.46%E -6.94%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 18:54
Suprabets3.14I 31.85%NM 29.74%EV -6.56%E -2.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.68%EV -6.77%E -3.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:55
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -6.56%E -2.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.65%EV -6.77%E -3.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.69%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.30%E -0.338%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 18:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 18:55
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 18:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 17:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 18:00
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 17:55
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 17:54
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:53
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:55
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 18:54
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.87%EV -14.80%E -7.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 18:35
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -10.14%E -3.36%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.26%EV -13.46%E -6.94%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.67%EV -12.33%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 18:35
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:54
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.15%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 18:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 18:44
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 17:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 18:50
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 17:54
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.84%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.73%E -3.58%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -11.68%E -5.90%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-20 10:25
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -12.22%E -4.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 18:54
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 29.48%EV -13.11%E -4.49%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.83%EV -14.35%E -7.48%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.69%EV -14.12%E -4.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-22 18:50
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:54
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:54
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.84%EV -13.71%E -4.73%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.07%EV -14.35%E -7.48%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.08%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-20 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -14.30%E -4.97%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.80%E -7.75%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -20.53%E -6.62%K -9.78%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-21 19:05
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.68%E -5.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -13.02%E -6.67%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -10.27%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-22 18:50
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.86%EV -16.68%E -5.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.01%EV -15.25%E -8.02%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.13%EV -17.97%E -5.61%K -8.17%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-22 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-03-22 18:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-03-22 18:55
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.57%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%2.5%2026-03-22 18:55