La escuela de los momios

Viborg FF v Brondby IF

Inicio: 2026-04-22 18:00 UTC

Final: Viborg FF 0–1 Brondby IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viborg FF (Local)

Predicción 42.45%2.36momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.57%42.36%42.41%43.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.202.2850.00%45.99%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Brondby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 31.59%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.663%
Kelly -0.979%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.66%31.60%31.62%33.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.902.903.1038.17%34.43%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.96%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.708%
Kelly -0.965%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.73%26.05%25.97%27.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.553.7530.30%28.20%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 17:09
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%EV -3.64%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 17:09
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.84%EV -4.07%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.34%EV -2.37%E -0.768%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 17:49
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:34
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -7.74%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:50
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -7.74%E -2.65%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:50
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.63%EV -5.85%E -1.96%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.48%EV -7.59%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:30
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.37%EV -4.92%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.37%EV -4.92%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.65%EV -4.92%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -7.43%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Suprabets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.15%EV -5.77%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.93%EV -7.43%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.92%EV -6.29%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:53
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -6.19%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -2.06%E -0.663%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -6.29%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:54
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:34
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:24
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:30
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:29
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:30
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:34
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:29
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.22%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:44
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.85%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 17:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 17:49
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 17:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 17:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.42%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.89%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:29
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.42%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.89%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:29
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.42%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.89%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:30
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.42%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.89%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.89%E -3.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.85%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 17:30
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 17:45
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 17:24
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 17:55
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:53
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 17:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.49%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.85%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 17:30
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -10.01%E -4.72%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 17:24
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 17:24
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.35%EV -12.14%E -5.86%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 17:29
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.92%EV -12.99%E -6.33%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.20%EV -10.90%E -3.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 17:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.99%E -6.33%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 17:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.99%E -6.33%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -17.22%E -6.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -15.11%E -7.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 17:49
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.95%EV -15.11%E -7.55%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.01%EV -12.48%E -4.51%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.34%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-22 17:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-22 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-22 17:49
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-04-22 17:50