La escuela de los momios

Vejle Boldklub v Silkeborg IF

Inicio: 2026-04-22 16:00 UTC

Final: Vejle Boldklub 1–2 Silkeborg IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vejle Boldklub (Local)

Predicción 41.84%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.709%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.39%41.77%41.89%42.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.232.3548.78%45.10%44.84%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Silkeborg IF (Visitante)

Predicción 32.05%3.12momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.414%
Kelly -0.612%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.70%32.10%31.93%34.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.852.853.0838.02%35.07%35.09%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.10%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.565%
Kelly -0.770%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.06%26.13%26.18%27.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.553.7532.26%28.39%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -1.67%E -0.709%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -2.12%E -0.565%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 15:44
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -1.67%E -0.709%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -2.12%E -0.565%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 15:44
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -2.50%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.36%EV -4.80%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.40%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 15:09
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.10%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.44%EV -1.27%E -0.414%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -4.47%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 15:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.12%E -0.565%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 15:04
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:04
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.925%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:04
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.60%E -2.02%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:44
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.60%E -2.02%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:44
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.60%E -2.02%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:44
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.60%E -2.02%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:44
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.60%E -2.02%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:44
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:49
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 15:24
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:45
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:44
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.68%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:04
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 15:45
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 15:44
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.42%E -0.925%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:05
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.25%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 15:44
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.25%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 15:44
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 15:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.04%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 15:34
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.04%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.04%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 15:34
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.04%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 15:34
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -13.45%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:05
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.62%EV -6.69%E -3.00%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.27%EV -2.56%E -0.841%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.11%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.69%E -3.00%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.25%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 15:44
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -7.11%E -3.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -2.24%E -0.733%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:34
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -7.11%E -3.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -2.24%E -0.733%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:33
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.99%EV -7.11%E -3.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -4.80%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 15:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -2.24%E -0.733%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 15:54
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 15:49
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 15:20
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 15:24
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 15:24
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -8.01%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 15:24
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 15:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.25%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 15:24
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 15:44
Suprabets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -8.36%E -3.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -2.88%E -0.949%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.48%EV -7.86%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:55
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.24%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 15:44
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.68%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.03%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 15:53
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.65%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 15:34
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 15:24
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 15:05
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.04%E -4.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 15:04
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.03%EV -10.45%E -4.88%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.14%EV -15.06%E -5.68%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 15:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -12.13%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 15:05
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -12.13%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.45%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 15:34
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -12.13%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -15.06%E -5.68%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.13%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -19.08%E -6.16%K -9.09%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-22 15:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -14.22%E -6.94%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-22 15:49
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.94%EV -14.22%E -6.94%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -12.81%E -4.71%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -15.17%E -4.67%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.72%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.30%0.1%2026-04-22 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-22 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-04-22 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-04-22 15:54
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-04-22 15:49