L’École des cotes

Vejle Boldklub v FC Fredericia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 12:00 UTC

Score final : Vejle Boldklub 2–0 FC Fredericia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vejle Boldklub (Local)

Prévision 30.41%3.29cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.840%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.10%30.44%30.40%31.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.033.053.2035.71%33.04%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Fredericia (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.46%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.588%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.88%44.38%44.42%45.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.082.102.2252.36%48.09%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.442%
Kelly -0.594%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%25.17%25.18%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.9132.26%27.89%27.78%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -2.69%E -0.840%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -2.19%E -0.998%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 08:45
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -2.69%E -0.840%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -2.19%E -0.998%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 08:44
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -2.69%E -0.840%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -2.99%E -0.938%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.97%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.73%EV -1.73%E -0.442%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 08:44
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 02:10
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 02:10
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.24%E -0.841%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 12:17
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -4.86%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -4.86%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:45
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -4.86%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -4.86%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:44
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -4.86%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:44
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 08:44
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 08:44
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 08:44
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.42%EV -6.34%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -6.20%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -6.50%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:45
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -6.34%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -7.09%E -3.39%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.50%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:44
Suprabets3.07I 32.57%NM 30.44%EV -6.64%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.30%EV -6.20%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 23:35
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:44
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 23:24
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:45
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
GTbets3.04I 32.89%NM 31.32%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -1.31%E -0.588%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -7.26%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:09
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 12:19
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 12:19
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 12:19
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 02:13
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.67%EV -7.97%E -3.85%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -13.29%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 08:45
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 23:39
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 23:39
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 23:39
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 23:39
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 08:45
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 08:45
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -10.29%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 12:19
Betclic (FR)2.93I 34.13%NM 30.53%EV -10.90%E -3.72%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.28%EV -10.20%E -5.05%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -11.81%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 23:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.81%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.62%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.81%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 08:43
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.81%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.81%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.81%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 08:45
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.81%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -15.80%E -4.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -12.42%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -15.09%E -7.90%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -22.09%E -7.12%K -10.52%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-10 08:44
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.69%EV -13.33%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.95%EV -11.53%E -5.79%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -13.29%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 00:04
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.05%EV -13.33%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.38%EV -14.20%E -7.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.57%EV -15.80%E -4.72%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -14.85%E -5.30%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 23:34
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.85%E -5.30%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -13.31%E -6.83%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-10 08:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-05-10 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-05-10 08:44
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-05-10 08:45