La escuela de los momios

Vejle Boldklub v FC Copenhagen

Inicio: 2026-04-19 16:00 UTC

Final: Vejle Boldklub 1–4 FC Copenhagen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vejle Boldklub (Local)

Predicción 19.33%5.17momio equitativo
EV +8.24%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.148%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.32%19.24%19.36%20.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.904.855.6023.81%20.41%20.62%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Copenhagen (Visitante)

Predicción 57.83%1.73momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -2.41%
Kelly -6.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.87%57.89%57.81%59.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.581.581.6668.03%63.24%63.29%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.84%4.38momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.580%
Kelly -0.758%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.13%22.87%22.83%25.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.004.004.2729.41%24.99%25.00%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%EV +8.24%E +1.47%K +1.79%G +0.148%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.86%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 15:40
Svenska Spel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%EV +8.24%E +1.47%K +1.79%G +0.148%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.86%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 15:40
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV +4.37%E +0.810%K +0.994%G +0.043%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 15:40
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV +4.37%E +0.810%K +0.994%G +0.043%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 15:40
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV +4.37%E +0.810%K +0.994%G +0.043%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 15:40
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV +4.37%E +0.810%K +0.994%G +0.043%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 15:40
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV +4.37%E +0.810%K +0.994%G +0.043%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 15:40
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.44%E +0.461%K +0.568%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -9.78%E -6.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:40
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.44%E +0.461%K +0.568%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -9.78%E -6.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:40
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +2.44%E +0.461%K +0.568%G +0.014%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -10.36%E -6.68%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:40
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +2.44%E +0.461%K +0.568%G +0.014%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -10.36%E -6.68%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:40
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV +1.47%E +0.281%K +0.347%G +0.005%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -4.08%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 15:35
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +1.47%E +0.281%K +0.347%G +0.005%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV +1.47%E +0.281%K +0.347%G +0.005%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -10.94%E -7.10%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 15:40
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +0.508%E +0.098%K +0.121%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.36%EV -8.05%E -5.06%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:50
LiveScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +0.508%E +0.098%K +0.121%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -12.09%E -7.96%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 15:40
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.57%EV -1.42%E -0.279%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.74%EV -13.25%E -8.83%K -26.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 15:40
1xBet5.08I 19.69%NM 18.70%EV -1.81%E -0.357%K -0.444%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.91%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.39%EV -7.27%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 15:45
GTbets5.02I 19.92%NM 18.82%EV -2.97%E -0.592%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.05%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.13%EV -2.48%E -0.580%K -0.758%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 15:34
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.36%E -0.671%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 15:35
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.36%E -0.671%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:25
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.36%E -0.671%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.62%E -5.46%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 15:40
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.36%E -0.671%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 15:50
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -3.36%E -0.671%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.67%EV -14.99%E -10.19%K -31.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -12.07%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 15:40
Pinnacle4.95I 20.20%NM 19.45%EV -4.32%E -0.873%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.00%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.55%EV -2.48%E -0.580%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 15:50
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -4.32%E -0.873%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 15:55
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.29%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:55
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -6.26%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 15:30
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -6.26%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 15:30
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.08%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 15:40
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.08%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 15:40
BetMGM4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.08%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 15:55
Suprabets4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 15:46
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 15:54
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 15:55
Bovada4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -8.05%E -5.06%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:38
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 15:44
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.19%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 15:55
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.19%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 15:40
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.19%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 15:35
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 15:35
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:35
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -17.78%E -4.94%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 15:50
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.46%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 15:40
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.47%E -4.67%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.07%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 15:45
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 15:45
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 15:40
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -12.09%E -7.96%K -23.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 15:40
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.08%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.02%EV -14.41%E -9.74%K -30.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-19 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.52%E -7.53%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -22.35%E -6.57%K -9.31%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 15:55
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -14.95%E -3.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.23%EV -11.52%E -7.53%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.86%EV -12.53%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 15:40
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.31%E -3.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -10.36%E -6.68%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 15:35
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.82%E -4.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.93%EV -10.94%E -7.10%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 15:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-04-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-04-19 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-04-19 15:50
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-04-19 15:50
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%2.8%2026-04-19 15:50