L’École des cotes

Vejle Boldklub v AGF Aarhus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vejle Boldklub (Local)

Prévision 16.71%5.98cote équitable
EV +3.63%
Avantage +0.586%
Kelly +0.698%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.86%16.68%16.79%18.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.505.506.2020.41%18.18%18.18%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AGF Aarhus (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.31%1.63cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -6.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.70%61.32%61.21%62.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.511.511.5774.63%66.35%66.23%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.98%4.55cote équitable
EV +0.655%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.183%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%22.00%21.99%24.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.174.204.5827.78%23.99%23.81%21.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV +3.63%E +0.586%K +0.698%G +0.025%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -9.88%E -6.72%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:49
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +0.289%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 15:14
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV +0.289%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:48
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV +0.289%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.88%E -6.72%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 15:49
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV +0.289%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.72%E -8.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Pinnacle5.93I 16.86%NM 16.23%EV -0.881%E -0.149%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.51%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.25%EV -0.443%E -0.098%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 15:54
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63%EV -3.05%E -0.527%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.44%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:09
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63%EV -3.05%E -0.527%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.44%EV -3.75%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:09
NordicBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -3.05%E -0.527%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:49
Betsson5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -3.05%E -0.527%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:49
Marathon Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -3.05%E -0.527%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:44
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.81%EV -3.89%E -0.676%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.95%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 15:09
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.81%EV -3.89%E -0.676%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.95%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 15:09
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.89%E -0.676%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.81%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 15:45
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -3.89%E -0.676%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:19
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -3.89%E -0.676%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 15:14
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -3.89%E -0.676%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 15:14
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -6.40%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:09
Unibet (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -6.40%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:09
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -6.40%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:14
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -6.40%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:14
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -6.40%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.69%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:49
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.40%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:14
Suprabets5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -6.40%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:15
1xBet5.59I 17.89%NM 16.95%EV -6.56%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.69%EV +0.655%E +0.143%K +0.183%G +0.001%5.5%2026-03-01 15:55
GTbets5.58I 17.92%NM 16.91%EV -6.73%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:55
BetUS5.55I 18.02%NM 16.90%EV -7.23%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:49
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -5.59%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 15:50
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:10
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:14
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:14
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 09:48
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 15:09
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 15:14
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:09
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 15:44
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.72%E -8.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -14.29%E -3.66%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-01 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -11.72%E -8.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -20.88%E -5.80%K -8.03%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-01 15:49
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.17%EV -8.07%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 62.27%EV -17.85%E -13.32%K -52.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.55%EV -18.68%E -5.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-01 15:49
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -9.74%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 15:54
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -9.74%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:49
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -9.74%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:14
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -9.74%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.25%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.70%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 08:00
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -14.75%E -2.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:49
Parions Sport (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -14.75%E -2.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.55%EV -11.10%E -7.66%K -24.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.17%EV -14.75%E -2.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.82%EV -11.72%E -8.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.01%EV -12.53%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 15:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:45
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:44
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:45
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:14
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:14
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:14
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.43%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.72%E -8.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 09:49
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -18.10%E -3.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -10.49%E -7.19%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.89%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-01 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-03-01 15:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-03-01 15:44
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-03-01 15:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-03-01 15:54
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%2.4%2026-03-01 15:49