Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SonderjyskE v Silkeborg IF

2026-10-18 12:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SonderjyskE (Local)

Prévision 38.87%2.57cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.11%39.00%39.11%41.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.302.5046.51%43.74%43.48%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Silkeborg IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.54%2.81cote équitable
EV +2.36%
Avantage +0.819%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.22%35.40%35.58%36.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.632.652.8842.55%37.98%37.74%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.59%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.524%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.52%25.60%25.31%26.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.593.603.8531.25%27.89%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : SonderjyskE (Local) : 38.87% ; Silkeborg IF (Visiteur) : 35.54% ; Match nul : 25.59%. Pour Silkeborg IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.81. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.88, pour une espérance positive de +2.36%.

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.53%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV +2.36%E +0.819%K +1.25%G +0.030%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.02%EV -1.49%E -0.388%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.53%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV +2.36%E +0.819%K +1.25%G +0.030%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.02%EV -1.49%E -0.388%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -0.485%E -0.173%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -0.485%E -0.173%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 12:10
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -0.485%E -0.173%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 12:10
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -0.485%E -0.173%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 12:09
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -13.31%E -5.97%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 12:10
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 12:09
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.30%EV -15.26%E -7.00%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.34%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -15.26%E -7.00%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -15.26%E -7.00%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -15.26%E -7.00%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.71%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -5.82%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -5.82%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.23%EV -16.42%E -7.64%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -5.82%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 12:10
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.39%EV -8.26%E -3.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.21%EV -6.17%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.39%EV -8.26%E -3.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.21%EV -6.17%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.990%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 12:23
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 12:14
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 12:15
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 12:09
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -7.48%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.28%EV -12.92%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-11 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.52%EV -9.43%E -4.05%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.98%EV -13.64%E -5.61%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -15.57%E -4.72%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-11 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.40%EV -14.48%E -6.58%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -18.12%E -5.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-11 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.37%EV -10.59%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.58%EV -16.48%E -7.01%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -15.57%E -4.72%K -6.77%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-11 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%2.44I 40.98%NM 36.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%13.4%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-11 12:50