L’École des cotes

SonderjyskE v FC Nordsjaelland

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Score final : SonderjyskE 1–4 FC Nordsjaelland

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SonderjyskE (Local)

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.786%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.99%29.25%29.22%30.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.123.103.3635.09%32.02%32.26%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Nordsjaelland (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.50%2.20cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.800%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.17%45.40%45.47%46.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.042.052.1654.05%49.10%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.29%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.679%
Kelly -0.918%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%25.35%25.31%26.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.623.653.8529.41%27.65%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.35%EV -1.86%E -0.552%K -0.786%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -6.28%E -3.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 07:45
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -2.15%E -0.641%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.19%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 06:45
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -2.15%E -0.641%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -7.19%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 06:45
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:00
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 22:45
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 22:45
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 06:45
GTbets3.28I 30.49%NM 29.39%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.84%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.77%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 23:18
Suprabets3.28I 30.49%NM 28.52%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.85%EV -7.19%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 06:51
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.73%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.68%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.59%EV -7.42%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Marathon Bet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -7.64%E -3.77%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -7.42%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:40
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -1.73%E -0.800%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 00:30
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -1.73%E -0.800%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 00:30
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.62%E -0.679%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 07:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:44
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:40
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 22:50
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:43
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:45
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -8.87%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 22:53
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:31
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:30
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:30
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 00:30
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.88%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 23:10
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:40
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:42
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 07:40
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 22:46
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 22:46
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 22:45
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 22:46
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 00:31
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 00:31
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -6.28%E -3.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 00:30
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -6.28%E -3.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 00:31
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 00:30
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.67%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -11.79%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.31%EV -10.37%E -5.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 04:04
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.41%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.94%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 00:31
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.28%E -5.79%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-17 07:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -13.10%E -6.86%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 06:45
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.28%EV -15.83%E -8.56%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -14.00%E -4.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-16 23:00
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 00:31
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -11.28%E -5.79%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 04:05
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.69%EV -11.28%E -5.79%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.26%EV -12.73%E -3.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 00:31
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -16.75%E -5.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -9.92%E -5.01%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -10.20%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-05-17 07:35
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%3.2%2026-05-17 07:55