Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Silkeborg IF v Viborg FF

2026-09-13 12:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Silkeborg IF (Local)

Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV +0.669%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.209%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.03%23.92%24.15%25.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.813.804.2029.85%26.25%26.32%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Viborg FF (Visitante)

Predicción 52.78%1.89momio equitativo
EV -0.781%
Ventaja -0.415%
Kelly -0.887%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.30%52.65%52.91%55.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.761.761.8861.73%56.96%56.82%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.25%4.30momio equitativo
EV +1.16%
Ventaja +0.266%
Kelly +0.346%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.80%23.43%22.94%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.883.854.3529.41%25.76%25.97%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Silkeborg IF (Local): 23.97%; Viborg FF (Visitante): 52.78%; Empate: 23.25%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.30. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.35, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.16%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.88%EV -7.11%E -4.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%EV +1.16%E +0.266%K +0.346%G +0.004%5.4%2026-09-06 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.669%E +0.159%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.33%E -0.555%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 13:30
Suprabets🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -2.33%E -0.555%K -0.728%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 13:49
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.53%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -3.49%E -0.841%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:20
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.53%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -3.49%E -0.841%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:20
1xBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.31%EV -3.65%E -0.907%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.84%EV -8.17%E -4.69%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.65%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -2.93%E -0.723%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.22%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.65%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 13:20
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV +0.669%E +0.159%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -10.81%E -6.40%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.65%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +0.669%E +0.159%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.40%EV -11.86%E -7.10%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -4.65%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.23%EV -0.781%E -0.415%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.23%EV -0.781%E -0.415%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 13:05
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 13:15
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.28%E -6.05%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 13:30
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.28%E -6.05%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 14:15
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.28%E -6.05%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.28%E -6.05%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.28%E -6.05%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 13:15
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -11.86%E -7.10%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 13:30
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -10.28%E -6.05%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 13:20
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -12.92%E -7.83%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.47%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.47%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:05
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.47%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:05
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.47%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:05
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:15
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -12.51%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 13:05
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.64%E -4.37%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.03%EV -11.34%E -6.75%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.32%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.96%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 13:10
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.96%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 13:10
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.96%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 13:05
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -14.91%E -4.20%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -13.96%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -11.32%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -1.84%E -0.987%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -15.12%E -4.14%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -14.91%E -4.20%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -15.12%E -4.14%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -7.11%E -4.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -15.12%E -4.14%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -7.11%E -4.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -15.12%E -4.14%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -16.11%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -7.11%E -4.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -15.12%E -4.14%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 13:05
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -10.12%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.13%EV -14.50%E -8.95%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -18.51%E -5.44%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 13:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -19.70%E -5.88%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.30%EV -7.11%E -4.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.79%EV -18.61%E -5.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-06 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -18.51%E -5.44%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.42%EV -8.17%E -4.69%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -20.93%E -6.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-06 13:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.56%13.4%2026-09-06 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.94%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.53%168.7%2026-09-06 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.94%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.53%168.7%2026-09-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.94%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.53%168.7%2026-09-06 14:45
Arbitraje (6 combinaciones) +0.01%Betr (AU) 4.20 (23.8%) / Svenska Spel 1.88 (53.2%) / Pinnacle 4.35 (23.0%)Ver las 6 combinaciones
Silkeborg IF (Local)Viborg FF (Visitante)EmpateMargen
Betr (AU)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.88 (53.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.35 (23.0%)+0.010%
Betr (AU)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.88 (53.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.35 (23.0%)+0.010%
FanDuel🎯 4.20 (23.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.88 (53.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.35 (23.0%)+0.010%
FanDuel🎯 4.20 (23.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.88 (53.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.35 (23.0%)+0.010%
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 1.88 (53.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.35 (23.0%)+0.010%
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 1.88 (53.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.35 (23.0%)+0.010%