La escuela de los momios

Silkeborg IF v Randers FC

Inicio: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Silkeborg IF (Local)

Predicción 34.28%2.92momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%34.33%34.30%35.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.652.632.8140.82%37.80%38.02%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Randers FC (Visitante)

Predicción 38.31%2.61momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.29%38.31%39.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.5145.45%41.84%41.67%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.41%3.65momio equitativo
EV +2.79%
Ventaja +0.744%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.71%27.38%27.39%28.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.393.7533.33%29.42%29.50%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV +2.79%E +0.744%K +1.01%G +0.028%3.7%2026-04-16 12:25
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV +2.79%E +0.744%K +1.01%G +0.028%3.7%2026-04-16 12:24
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.84%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:25
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.84%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:25
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.84%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:24
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.84%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:25
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.84%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:24
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.30%EV -6.07%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -9.59%E -4.06%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.89%EV -0.499%E -0.138%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:39
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:55
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 12:23
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 12:25
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 12:24
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 12:25
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:23
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:58
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:55
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 16:40
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -10.19%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:58
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -12.58%E -4.94%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:09
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.97%E -4.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 20:55
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -10.74%E -4.61%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-16 12:25
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:34
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.19%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 21:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.19%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.19%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:24
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.50%EV -14.98%E -6.04%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.61%EV -12.66%E -5.55%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-16 12:25
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 33.89%EV -3.67%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.94%EV -3.84%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.17%EV -7.35%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:00
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:25
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:25
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.58%E -4.94%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.89%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 18:09
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -8.45%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.39%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -6.53%E -2.67%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -8.45%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:53
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:50
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:49
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.89%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.89%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.89%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.89%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 21:25
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.76%EV -5.39%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.76%EV -5.39%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -4.99%E -2.01%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:40
Suprabets2.71I 36.90%NM 33.86%EV -7.10%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.91%EV -7.29%E -3.01%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:11
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.18%EV -16.01%E -6.54%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.30%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 18:09
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:45
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:44
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:44
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -12.58%E -4.94%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.21%EV -15.72%E -7.15%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 34.13%EV -13.27%E -5.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.72%EV -14.57%E -6.53%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.15%EV -12.83%E -4.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 18:18
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:49
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -12.58%E -4.94%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.83%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.89%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-23 21:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%10.5%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 26.76%1.73I 57.80%NM 43.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 30.24%34.4%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 26.76%1.73I 57.80%NM 43.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 30.24%34.4%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 26.76%1.73I 57.80%NM 43.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 30.24%34.4%2026-04-23 22:09