La escuela de los momios

Silkeborg IF v OB Odense BK

Inicio: 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Final: Silkeborg IF 3–1 OB Odense BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Silkeborg IF (Local)

Predicción 29.08%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.333%
Kelly -0.471%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.44%29.17%29.08%30.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.113.103.4035.09%32.11%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

OB Odense BK (Visitante)

Predicción 45.62%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.371%
Ventaja +0.169%
Kelly +0.310%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.86%45.49%45.63%46.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.042.052.2053.19%49.05%48.78%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.30%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -0.914%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.34%25.28%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.653.8532.26%27.60%27.40%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV +0.371%E +0.169%K +0.310%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.60%E -0.676%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 08:39
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV +0.371%E +0.169%K +0.310%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.60%E -0.676%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 08:39
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -11.31%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 08:39
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -11.31%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 08:40
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -11.31%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 08:40
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -11.31%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 08:39
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -11.31%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 08:40
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 29.52%EV -6.07%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -5.39%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 05:55
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -1.13%E -0.333%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.11%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.41%EV -3.62%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.60%E -0.676%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:09
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 08:38
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 08:39
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 08:40
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 08:39
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -5.10%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 04:20
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -5.10%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -5.10%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 08:40
1xBet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.57%EV -4.62%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -5.56%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.17%EV -9.43%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 09:10
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -14.22%E -4.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 08:40
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 07:29
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 05:50
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 05:50
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 00:14
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:44
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:45
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -4.62%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -9.43%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 09:10
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.87%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 00:10
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 00:10
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 06:19
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -11.31%E -3.71%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 00:10
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 06:29
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 06:29
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 06:30
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 06:29
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -6.93%E -3.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 08:40
Suprabets3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.05%EV -7.38%E -3.64%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.19%EV -6.15%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 05:49
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.99%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 09:10
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.75%E -4.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 06:20
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 06:54
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 05:49
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 05:49
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.75%E -4.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 07:30
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.75%E -4.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.40%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 00:09
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.75%E -4.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 10:15
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -17.12%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -8.75%E -4.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 08:40
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 06:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 06:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 06:19
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.93%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 09:04
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.84%EV -14.22%E -4.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.37%EV -11.49%E -5.92%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 07:30
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.61%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.25%EV -11.95%E -6.19%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 07:29
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.42%EV -12.86%E -6.73%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 07:30
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 29.88%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -12.86%E -6.73%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -11.46%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-10 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -16.25%E -5.64%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -12.86%E -6.73%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.58%E -6.96%K -10.27%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-12 00:09
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.71%EV -14.23%E -7.57%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -15.25%E -4.55%K -6.49%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-12 08:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%3.1%2026-04-12 11:00