L’École des cotes

Silkeborg IF v FC Copenhagen

2026-08-02 16:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Résultat du match

22 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Silkeborg IF (Local)

Prévision 18.76%5.33cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.242%
Kelly +0.297%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.35%18.90%18.80%21.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.785.005.4025.97%20.90%20.00%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Copenhagen (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.60%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.53%58.38%58.59%60.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6666.67%63.99%64.10%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.64%4.42cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.457%
Kelly -0.595%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.29%22.72%22.62%24.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.014.054.3328.57%24.92%24.69%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (22 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV +1.31%E +0.242%K +0.297%G +0.004%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -9.75%E -6.33%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.66%E -0.619%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 09:09
Betsson5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -0.569%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.23%EV -7.41%E -4.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -8.32%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 09:55
NordicBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -0.569%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.23%EV -7.41%E -4.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -8.32%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 09:55
SportsBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -0.569%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -10.92%E -7.19%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -3.79%E -0.892%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 09:10
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -1.51%E -0.287%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -7.41%E -4.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.66%E -0.619%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 09:10
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.44%E -0.470%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -8.58%E -5.50%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 09:26
1xBet5.11I 19.57%NM 18.35%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -7.41%E -4.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 09:29
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.20%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.20%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -10.34%E -6.76%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.595%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 09:10
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.20%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.08%EV -8.58%E -5.50%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 09:28
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.20%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -10.34%E -6.76%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 09:10
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.20%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.10%E -8.06%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 09:10
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.89%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.99%E -5.09%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 09:15
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 18.95%EV -13.70%E -2.98%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.11%EV -12.10%E -8.06%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 09:10
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -15.58%E -3.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -3.31%E -2.00%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 21:49
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -15.58%E -3.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -2.72%E -1.64%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 05:00
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.58%E -3.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -3.31%E -2.00%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 05:00
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -15.58%E -3.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -12.10%E -8.06%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 21:55
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 20.78%EV -22.14%E -5.34%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.27%EV -8.58%E -5.50%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.95%EV -18.51%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-25 04:57
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 20.89%EV -24.02%E -5.93%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 54.94%EV -9.75%E -6.33%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.17%EV -20.77%E -5.93%K -8.31%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-25 05:00
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -24.96%E -6.24%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.06%EV -7.41%E -4.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 05:00
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 21.81%EV -27.77%E -7.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 54.53%EV -9.75%E -6.33%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.66%EV -19.64%E -5.53%K -7.70%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-25 04:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.10%16.9%2026-07-25 05:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.57%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.28%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.15%181.7%2026-07-26 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.57%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.28%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.15%181.7%2026-07-26 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.57%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.28%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.15%181.7%2026-07-26 09:50