La escuela de los momios

Randers FC v Silkeborg IF

Inicio: 2026-03-22 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Randers FC (Local)

Predicción 52.04%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -4.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.80%52.19%51.96%54.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.771.781.8563.29%56.63%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Silkeborg IF (Visitante)

Predicción 22.82%4.38momio equitativo
EV +7.23%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +1.96%
Crecimiento +0.141%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%22.62%23.05%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.064.004.7027.40%24.66%25.00%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.565%
Ventaja +0.141%
Kelly +0.188%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.89%25.19%24.99%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.663.704.0030.77%27.35%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -5.80%E -3.21%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV +7.23%E +1.54%K +1.96%G +0.141%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 12:44
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -5.80%E -3.21%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV +7.23%E +1.54%K +1.96%G +0.141%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 12:44
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.73%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV +6.09%E +1.31%K +1.67%G +0.102%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.51%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 12:50
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV +2.67%E +0.594%K +0.763%G +0.020%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 12:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +2.67%E +0.594%K +0.763%G +0.020%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 12:00
Suprabets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.67%E +0.594%K +0.763%G +0.020%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 12:42
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -11.01%E -6.44%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +2.67%E +0.594%K +0.763%G +0.020%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 12:43
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.50%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.50%EV -0.523%E -0.120%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.01%EV -12.76%E -3.68%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 05:09
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.38%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -0.752%E -0.173%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -10.50%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 12:44
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.49%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -1.21%E -0.279%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:44
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -1.89%E -0.440%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 11:59
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.80%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -3.03%E -0.714%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.692%E -0.175%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 12:45
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.80%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -3.03%E -0.714%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.692%E -0.175%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -11.53%E -6.78%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -4.17%E -0.994%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 12:44
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:44
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -7.36%E -4.14%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:45
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -8.40%E -4.78%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -8.40%E -4.78%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.40%E -4.78%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:42
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.40%E -4.78%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:44
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.40%E -4.78%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.20%EV -12.57%E -7.48%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -6.46%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.41%EV -16.53%E -4.98%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 12:45
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.23%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 11:59
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.23%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 11:59
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV +0.565%E +0.141%K +0.188%G +0.001%4.6%2026-03-22 12:45
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 05:19
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 05:19
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -8.40%E -4.78%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:45
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -8.40%E -4.78%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:44
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 11:58
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 12:44
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -11.53%E -6.78%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -8.74%E -2.18%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.48%EV -9.97%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 12:44
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -11.01%E -6.44%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 12:45
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 09:05
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 11:34
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 12:49
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 51.79%EV -14.13%E -8.56%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.91%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -18.29%E -5.63%K -8.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-22 12:48
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.08%EV -17.77%E -11.25%K -30.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.50%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.41%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-22 12:44
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -8.40%E -4.78%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 05:19
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -14.52%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 11:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.18%EV -12.57%E -7.48%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 12:45
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.30%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 11:31
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 12:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 12:49
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 05:19
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 05:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 05:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 05:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -13.09%E -7.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -13.09%E -7.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -18.29%E -5.63%K -8.13%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-22 11:59
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -10.49%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -16.72%E -4.58%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 05:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-03-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-03-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%1.6%2026-03-22 12:44
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%3.1%2026-03-22 12:50