La escuela de los momios

Randers FC v FC Copenhagen

Inicio: 2026-04-12 16:02 UTC

Final: Randers FC 1–2 FC Copenhagen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Randers FC (Local)

Predicción 21.25%4.70momio equitativo
EV +2.45%
Ventaja +0.508%
Kelly +0.641%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.05%21.32%21.24%22.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.374.404.8225.64%22.88%22.73%20.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Copenhagen (Visitante)

Predicción 54.37%1.84momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -4.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.70%54.31%54.37%55.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.701.701.7862.50%58.97%58.82%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.37%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.625%
Kelly -0.833%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%24.37%24.40%25.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.753.754.0030.30%26.64%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV +2.45%E +0.508%K +0.641%G +0.016%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.54%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -3.48%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 15:59
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV -0.102%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV -0.102%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49%EV -3.22%E -1.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.23%E -0.484%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:59
Suprabets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.23%E -0.484%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -8.11%E -4.80%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.40%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 15:58
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 15:59
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 15:57
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:00
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:00
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.11%E -4.80%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -6.89%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 15:59
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 15:56
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:59
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:00
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:59
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:59
1xBet4.49I 22.27%NM 21.18%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.98%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.84%EV -2.74%E -0.688%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 15:59
GTbets4.44I 22.52%NM 21.35%EV -5.63%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 15:59
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 16:00
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:59
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 16:00
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:58
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.66%E -5.15%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:48
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.66%E -5.15%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:59
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.66%E -5.15%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:00
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -8.11%E -4.80%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:00
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -8.11%E -4.80%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.31%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.43%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 16:00
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 16:00
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -9.75%E -5.87%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:00
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -9.75%E -5.87%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 16:00
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 15:59
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 15:59
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -8.66%E -5.15%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 16:00
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.42%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -13.47%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 15:56
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:59
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:59
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -13.01%E -8.13%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 15:59
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 16:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.56%E -5.93%K -8.51%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-12 15:59
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -17.11%E -4.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%EV -8.66%E -5.15%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 16:00
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -17.11%E -4.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.00%EV -9.75%E -5.87%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-04-12 16:00