La escuela de los momios

FC Nordsjaelland v SonderjyskE

Inicio: 2026-03-22 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Predicción 45.33%2.21momio equitativo
EV -4.36%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -3.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.29%45.31%45.28%46.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.032.052.1154.05%49.27%48.78%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SonderjyskE (Visitante)

Predicción 29.91%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.396%
Kelly -0.568%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.96%29.87%29.98%30.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.43%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.77%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.934%
Ventaja -0.233%
Kelly -0.311%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.85%24.82%24.74%26.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.744.0030.30%27.00%26.74%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.83%EV -4.36%E -2.07%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.23%EV -1.18%E -0.296%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 12:50
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.27%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -1.31%E -0.396%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -0.934%E -0.233%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 12:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.27%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -1.31%E -0.396%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%EV -0.934%E -0.233%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 12:44
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 12:44
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 11:59
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 11:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 07:19
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -5.27%E -2.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.58%EV -3.10%E -0.957%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.57%EV -3.41%E -0.874%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 12:44
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -5.27%E -2.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.58%EV -3.10%E -0.957%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.57%EV -3.41%E -0.874%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 12:44
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.05%EV -5.27%E -2.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.70%EV -5.19%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.24%EV -7.62%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 07:19
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.81%EV -5.27%E -2.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.41%EV -7.88%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.78%EV -6.38%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 12:50
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -0.934%E -0.233%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 12:45
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:45
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -6.38%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 12:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.41%E -0.874%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:44
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 12:44
Suprabets2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.21%EV -7.59%E -2.45%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 12:42
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 12:44
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:42
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:44
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:45
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 12:44
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:44
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.79%E -4.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 11:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.79%E -4.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 11:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.79%E -4.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.79%E -4.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 11:34
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:44
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:45
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:44
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:44
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:45
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 12:44
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 12:44
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.65%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 12:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:45
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:45
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:44
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 12:45
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 12:44
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 11:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 10:29
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.32%E -3.80%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -10.71%E -5.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -5.79%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.89%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 12:44
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -11.16%E -5.69%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.29%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.13%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:44
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.04%EV -11.16%E -5.69%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.27%E -4.58%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -10.84%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 12:44
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -11.61%E -5.96%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.08%EV -13.87%E -4.81%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -15.79%E -4.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-22 08:29
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.29%EV -12.07%E -6.22%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.78%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -12.07%E -6.22%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.32%E -3.80%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 12:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.98%EV -13.43%E -7.03%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.28%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -12.08%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 12:45
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.82%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.20%EV -11.77%E -3.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -14.56%E -4.22%K -5.94%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 12:44
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -16.15%E -8.73%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -16.26%E -5.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -18.27%E -5.54%K -7.94%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-22 12:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-22 12:44
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%2.7%2026-03-22 12:45