Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Midtjylland v Randers FC

2026-08-23 12:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Previsão 63.04%1.59odd justa
EV -5.44%
Vantagem -3.63%
Kelly -10.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.10%63.06%63.03%65.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.24%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Randers FC (Visitante)

Previsão 15.81%6.32odd justa
EV +6.74%
Vantagem +0.999%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescimento +0.079%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.29%15.74%15.78%17.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.855.896.006.7520.62%16.97%16.67%14.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.15%4.73odd justa
EV +1.51%
Vantagem +0.314%
Kelly +0.396%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.07%21.20%21.18%23.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.784.344.354.8026.46%23.02%22.99%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: FC Midtjylland (Local): 63.04%; Randers FC (Visitante): 15.81%; Empate: 21.15%. Para Randers FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 6.32. 6 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 6.75, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +6.74%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.62%EV -7.33%E -4.99%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +6.74%E +0.999%K +1.17%G +0.079%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV +1.51%E +0.314%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.7%2026-08-16 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.62%EV -7.33%E -4.99%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +6.74%E +0.999%K +1.17%G +0.079%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV +1.51%E +0.314%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.7%2026-08-16 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -9.85%E -6.89%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +1.21%E +0.189%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.72%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -9.85%E -6.89%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +1.21%E +0.189%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.72%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:30
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -9.85%E -6.89%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +1.21%E +0.189%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.72%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:30
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -9.85%E -6.89%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +1.21%E +0.189%K +0.224%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.72%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.70%E -4.53%K -13.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.17%E -0.186%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 09:14
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.85%E -6.89%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.17%E -0.186%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 12:29
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.45%EV -11.11%E -7.88%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV -3.54%E -0.580%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.45%EV -11.11%E -7.88%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.90%EV -3.54%E -0.580%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 12:30
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.27%EV -6.70%E -4.53%K -13.96%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.45%EV -4.17%E -0.688%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -7.33%E -4.99%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -4.33%E -0.715%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.33%E -4.99%K -15.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -9.22%E -6.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 09:39
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 11:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.85%E -6.89%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -2.72%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 09:25
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.22%E -6.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.14%EV -11.11%E -7.88%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.79%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -11.74%E -8.39%K -29.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -13.01%E -9.42%K -34.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -13.01%E -9.42%K -34.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -13.01%E -9.42%K -34.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -5.12%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.10%EV -9.85%E -6.89%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -6.70%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 09:24
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:04
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.33%E -4.99%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 09:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.28%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.70%E -4.53%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:05
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.70%E -4.53%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -7.96%E -5.45%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 12:30
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -7.33%E -4.99%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:24
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.59%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:44
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.59%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 13:03
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.59%E -5.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.07%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 13:04
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.74%E -8.39%K -29.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -13.03%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 09:24
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.74%E -8.39%K -29.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -13.03%E -2.37%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.76%EV -11.11%E -7.88%K -27.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.75%EV -17.77%E -3.42%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -14.35%E -3.54%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-16 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -11.11%E -7.88%K -27.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -19.35%E -3.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.74%E -8.39%K -29.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-16 09:10
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -11.74%E -8.39%K -29.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -20.93%E -4.19%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-16 09:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.10%EV -7.33%E -4.99%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.91%EV -23.30%E -4.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.98%EV -20.06%E -5.31%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-16 09:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%13.7%2026-08-16 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 38.50%1.34I 74.63%NM 32.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 29.33%131.9%2026-08-16 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 38.50%1.34I 74.63%NM 32.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 29.33%131.9%2026-08-16 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 38.42%1.34I 74.63%NM 32.11%1.46I 68.49%NM 29.47%132.4%2026-08-16 15:29

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