La escuela de los momios

FC Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland

Inicio: 2026-03-15 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Predicción 66.07%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.89%66.02%66.03%67.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.401.401.4980.65%71.41%71.43%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Nordsjaelland (Visitante)

Predicción 15.12%6.61momio equitativo
EV +2.08%
Ventaja +0.308%
Kelly +0.362%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.02%15.19%15.26%17.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.255.996.006.7519.05%16.69%16.67%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.81%5.32momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.294%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.78%18.79%18.71%21.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.824.805.2525.00%20.73%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +2.08%E +0.308%K +0.362%G +0.008%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.25%E -0.238%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 12:44
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.63%EV -0.641%E -0.098%K -0.115%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.63%EV -2.94%E -0.570%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 12:50
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.18%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 11:35
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:45
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.99%EV -10.15%E -7.46%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -2.19%E -0.421%K -0.521%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:35
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.15%E -7.46%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:35
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -10.15%E -7.46%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -1.70%E -0.261%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 11:39
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.92%EV -4.72%E -0.750%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -8.77%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 12:55
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.92%EV -4.72%E -0.750%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -8.77%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 12:55
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.16%EV -6.85%E -4.86%K -16.70%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -4.72%E -0.750%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:49
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09%EV -1.56%E -1.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52%EV -5.48%E -0.877%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 12:35
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09%EV -1.56%E -1.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52%EV -5.48%E -0.877%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 12:35
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.46%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.877%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -1.25%E -0.238%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 12:55
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.46%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.48%E -0.877%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.23%EV -1.25%E -0.238%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 12:55
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -5.48%E -0.877%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:49
Suprabets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -6.85%E -4.86%K -16.70%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -6.24%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:53
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -7.75%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.71%EV -4.26%E -0.836%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 12:55
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 65.06%EV -2.88%E -1.96%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.73%EV -8.05%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.21%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 12:45
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:35
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.18%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 11:30
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:35
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:35
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -6.18%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:35
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -6.18%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:35
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.95%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:36
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:40
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:10
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -8.83%E -6.40%K -23.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -7.83%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 12:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 12:50
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.15%E -7.46%K -28.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 11:34
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.13%E -9.12%K -36.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -12.13%E -9.12%K -36.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -9.26%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -24.76%E -6.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.94%EV -6.85%E -4.86%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -12.29%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -12.29%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 12:35
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 67.14%EV -18.08%E -14.58%K -75.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.35%EV -12.29%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.50%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-15 12:05
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.21%EV -8.83%E -6.40%K -23.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -13.04%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 12:35
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.20%EV -14.11%E -10.86%K -47.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.10%EV -13.80%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 12:53
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.76%EV -8.17%E -5.88%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -15.31%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -4.07%E -0.798%K -0.992%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.17%EV -10.81%E -8.01%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -15.31%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -13.47%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 12:34
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.15%E -7.46%K -28.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -16.82%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -10.65%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 11:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.01%EV -11.47%E -8.56%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -16.82%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.15%EV -14.41%E -3.17%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 12:35
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.11%EV -10.81%E -8.01%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -19.85%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -9.71%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 11:35
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -5.52%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.60%E -3.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.60%E -3.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 11:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.60%E -3.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 11:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.60%E -3.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.60%E -3.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.36%E -3.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.66%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-03-15 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.66%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-03-15 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.66%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.1%2026-03-15 12:50
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.03%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-03-15 12:55
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.10%2.3%2026-03-15 12:55