La escuela de los momios

FC Fredericia v Silkeborg IF

Inicio: 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Fredericia (Local)

Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.989%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.55%39.91%39.81%41.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.54%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Silkeborg IF (Visitante)

Predicción 34.63%2.89momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.736%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.82%34.50%34.63%35.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.702.702.9541.67%37.07%37.04%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.54%3.92momio equitativo
EV -0.400%
Ventaja -0.103%
Kelly -0.138%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.96%25.59%25.56%27.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.583.603.9032.26%27.91%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 15:19
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV +2.17%E +0.736%K +1.11%G +0.024%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 15:20
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:19
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:20
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:20
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:19
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -9.19%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -1.29%E -0.454%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -0.400%E -0.103%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 15:44
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -0.400%E -0.103%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 15:45
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -0.400%E -0.103%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 15:44
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.34%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:19
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.34%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:20
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.34%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.34%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -11.18%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.34%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:20
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.66%EV -2.82%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV -3.72%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV -3.21%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:54
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.16%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.19%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.02%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:49
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -2.42%E -0.989%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 15:39
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -2.95%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:44
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:34
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 15:09
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:19
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 15:20
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.41%EV -4.02%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.05%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.53%EV -5.00%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:39
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:48
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.81%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:39
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.80%E -2.91%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:39
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:09
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:09
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:44
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -7.18%E -2.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:44
Suprabets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.60%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.14%EV -7.87%E -2.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:36
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:34
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.34%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:54
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:39
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:34
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:35
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:35
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.62%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 15:39
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 15:39
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 15:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.38%EV -13.57%E -6.26%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.25%EV -11.38%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 15:38
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -13.41%E -5.37%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -9.34%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 15:40
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.47%EV -13.57%E -6.26%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.96%EV -15.15%E -6.18%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.57%EV -14.45%E -4.31%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-01 15:50
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.11%EV -14.37%E -6.68%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -16.88%E -7.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-01 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -16.88%E -7.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -20.83%E -6.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-01 15:47
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.66%EV -16.36%E -7.79%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.71%EV -16.88%E -7.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.63%EV -17.00%E -5.23%K -7.56%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-03-01 15:54