La escuela de los momios

FC Copenhagen v Vejle Boldklub

Inicio: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Copenhagen (Local)

Predicción 74.50%1.34momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -10.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.32%74.56%74.58%76.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.241.251.3086.21%80.76%80.00%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vejle Boldklub (Visitante)

Predicción 9.47%10.56momio equitativo
EV +8.90%
Ventaja +0.774%
Kelly +0.848%
Crecimiento +0.075%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.15%9.41%9.34%11.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.259.569.5011.5013.79%10.46%10.53%8.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 16.03%6.24momio equitativo
EV -0.431%
Ventaja -0.069%
Kelly -0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.13%16.03%16.08%19.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.635.756.2122.22%17.76%17.39%16.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +8.90%E +0.774%K +0.848%G +0.075%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.51%EV -14.22%E -2.66%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:10
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.35%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +8.90%E +0.774%K +0.848%G +0.075%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.51%EV -14.22%E -2.66%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 06:29
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.52%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV +6.53%E +0.581%K +0.638%G +0.042%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.18%EV -1.39%E -0.227%K -0.271%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:34
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +4.17%E +0.379%K +0.417%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.80%E -0.633%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:24
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.17%E +0.379%K +0.417%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.80%E -0.633%K -0.760%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:28
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.23%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +4.17%E +0.379%K +0.417%G +0.017%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.25%EV -1.39%E -0.227%K -0.271%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:39
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.567%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:30
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.05%EV -10.60%E -8.84%K -53.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -0.567%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 10:29
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 75.78%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000%10.34I 9.67%NM 9.09%EV -2.08%E -0.201%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.13%EV -0.431%E -0.069%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 17:45
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.58%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000%10.33I 9.68%NM 9.24%EV -2.18%E -0.211%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.18%EV -5.40%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 06:39
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.45%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.87%EV -2.19%E -0.360%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 19:19
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.45%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.87%EV -2.19%E -0.360%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 10:29
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:29
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:30
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:29
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:30
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:29
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 74.10%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 10:30
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 11:30
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 73.83%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -15.82%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 17:34
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.60%E -8.84%K -53.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -5.30%E -0.530%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 10:29
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 74.62%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.39%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.41%EV -7.67%E -0.787%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 10:41
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 74.62%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.39%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.41%EV -7.67%E -0.787%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Suprabets1.23I 81.30%NM 74.89%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.39%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.50%EV -8.14%E -0.840%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -5.40%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 03:11
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 06:39
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:19
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:19
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:20
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -7.00%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:19
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 19:19
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.28%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 19:19
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.80%E -0.633%K -0.760%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 03:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 71.79%EV -10.60%E -8.84%K -53.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.07%EV -10.04%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -27.85%E -6.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 10:30
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -14.77%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.80%E -0.633%K -0.760%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -14.77%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.80%E -0.633%K -0.760%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 20:35
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -14.77%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 10:29
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -14.77%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.81%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 06:29
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -8.37%E -6.80%K -36.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -14.77%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.21%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 19:20
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.05%EV -9.86%E -8.15%K -46.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV -14.77%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -10.21%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 19:20
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -11.35%E -9.54%K -59.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -14.77%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -13.42%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 19:19
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 74.42%EV -13.58%E -11.71%K -84.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.59%EV -14.77%E -1.64%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.99%EV -13.42%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -19.51%E -2.29%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -15.82%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 06:39
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -19.51%E -2.29%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -15.82%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 06:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -19.51%E -2.29%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -15.82%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 06:40
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -19.51%E -2.29%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -15.82%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 06:40
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -19.51%E -2.29%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:29
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 73.04%EV -12.09%E -10.25%K -67.19%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.38%EV -21.40%E -2.58%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.57%EV -16.63%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 06:34
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.97%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -24.24%E -3.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -10.21%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 06:34
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -24.24%E -3.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -19.83%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -11.35%E -9.54%K -59.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV -24.24%E -3.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -19.83%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-23 06:38
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 71.32%EV -11.35%E -9.54%K -59.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.71%EV -31.34%E -4.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.97%EV -19.83%E -3.97%K -4.96%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-23 06:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.17%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.48%4.2%2026-04-23 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.17%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.48%4.2%2026-04-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.17%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.48%4.2%2026-04-23 17:34
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 76.19%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%9.4%2026-04-23 23:35