La escuela de los momios

FC Copenhagen v Randers FC

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Copenhagen 5–0 Randers FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Copenhagen (Local)

Predicción 58.10%1.72momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -2.50%
Kelly -6.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.75%58.26%58.14%60.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.571.571.6568.97%63.53%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Randers FC (Visitante)

Predicción 19.94%5.02momio equitativo
EV +5.68%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.075%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.19%19.80%19.92%21.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.724.655.3023.81%21.18%21.51%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.96%4.55momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.10%21.94%21.94%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.184.204.5028.57%23.95%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.18%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV +5.68%E +1.07%K +1.32%G +0.075%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 08:15
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.18%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV +5.68%E +1.07%K +1.32%G +0.075%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.08%EV -9.36%E -6.00%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.69%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.08%EV -9.36%E -6.00%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.69%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.08%EV -9.36%E -6.00%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.69%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.08%EV -9.36%E -6.00%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.69%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:16
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.08%EV -9.36%E -6.00%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV +1.69%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -11.10%E -7.26%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV +1.69%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.39%E -0.771%K -0.998%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 06:50
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -10.52%E -6.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV +1.69%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -10.52%E -6.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV +1.69%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -7.03%E -4.40%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -0.303%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.39%E -0.771%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 06:50
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -8.19%E -5.19%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.303%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:20
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -0.303%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:50
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -10.52%E -6.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -0.303%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 08:20
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -10.52%E -6.83%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -0.303%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -11.10%E -7.26%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -0.303%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:20
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -11.68%E -7.69%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -0.303%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:16
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.36%E -6.00%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -2.30%E -0.469%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:20
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -12.84%E -8.56%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -2.30%E -0.469%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 08:20
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -8.19%E -5.19%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -3.29%E -0.679%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.54%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 05:40
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.29%E -0.894%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 08:15
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -15.75%E -10.86%K -35.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -4.29%E -0.894%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.03%E -4.40%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.29%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:05
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -5.29%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 08:19
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -9.94%E -6.41%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -5.29%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 06:50
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -11.10%E -7.26%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.29%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 06:48
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 57.87%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.06%EV -5.69%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 08:15
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -6.28%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 06:51
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.24%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -6.28%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 06:51
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:15
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:14
Suprabets1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:18
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:19
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.61%E -4.79%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:17
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.61%E -4.79%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:20
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -7.61%E -4.79%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:21
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:16
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:15
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:15
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:15
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:49
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -11.10%E -7.26%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -8.28%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 06:50
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -5.29%E -3.25%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -9.28%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:05
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -10.27%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.27%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 06:51
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -11.10%E -7.26%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -10.27%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -12.84%E -8.56%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -10.27%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -23.15%E -6.62%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-17 08:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -5.29%E -3.25%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.27%E -2.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -15.47%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -9.36%E -6.00%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -12.27%E -2.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 07:05
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.82%EV -11.68%E -7.69%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -13.26%E -3.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 07:05
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -13.66%E -3.16%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.37%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:16
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -13.66%E -3.16%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.37%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -13.66%E -3.16%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.37%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -13.66%E -3.16%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.37%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:16
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.52%EV -12.84%E -8.56%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -14.26%E -3.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.41%EV -15.47%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-17 08:20
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -9.94%E -6.41%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -16.25%E -3.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -12.18%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.68%E -7.69%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -16.25%E -3.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 07:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-17 08:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-05-17 08:05