La escuela de los momios

FC Copenhagen v FC Fredericia

Inicio: 2026-03-22 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Copenhagen (Local)

Predicción 69.94%1.43momio equitativo
EV -4.88%
Ventaja -3.59%
Kelly -13.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.22%69.86%70.08%72.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.321.331.3684.03%75.69%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Fredericia (Visitante)

Predicción 12.73%7.85momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.231%
Kelly +0.264%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.46%12.89%12.56%14.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.907.217.508.0016.95%13.86%13.33%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.33%5.77momio equitativo
EV +3.97%
Ventaja +0.662%
Kelly +0.794%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%17.25%17.36%20.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.285.306.0023.09%18.94%18.87%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.05%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV +1.85%E +0.231%K +0.264%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.97%E +0.662%K +0.794%G +0.032%4.4%2026-03-22 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.05%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV +1.85%E +0.231%K +0.264%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.97%E +0.662%K +0.794%G +0.032%4.4%2026-03-22 14:30
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.34%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.19%EV +0.575%E +0.073%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.46%EV +1.37%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.8%2026-03-22 14:39
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +1.85%E +0.231%K +0.264%G +0.005%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.23%EV +1.37%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-22 13:45
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.25%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.02%EV +1.85%E +0.231%K +0.264%G +0.005%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV -0.361%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 14:50
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.38%E -6.40%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -1.23%E -0.215%K -0.261%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 14:39
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -5.79%E -0.783%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -3.83%E -0.689%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:39
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.85%E +0.231%K +0.264%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 15:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.85%E +0.231%K +0.264%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 14:59
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +1.85%E +0.231%K +0.264%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 14:44
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:40
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:30
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 14:29
Suprabets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.74%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.29%EV -3.24%E -0.427%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:39
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:39
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:39
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:40
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -20.43%E -3.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 14:39
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.42%EV -2.61%E -0.341%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.72%EV -7.12%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 14:45
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.22%EV -1.97%E -0.256%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -7.29%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:49
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.28%E -4.69%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.22%EV -1.97%E -0.256%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -7.29%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:49
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 70.14%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.59I 13.18%NM 12.29%EV -3.37%E -0.444%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.57%EV -7.99%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 14:29
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.16%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:30
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.16%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:39
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.16%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:30
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -8.16%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:39
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:45
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 14:30
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.25%E -2.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 14:45
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -9.78%E -7.58%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +1.85%E +0.231%K +0.264%G +0.005%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 13:49
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -24.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.08%E -6.98%K -30.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 14:30
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:48
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.42%EV -9.78%E -7.58%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 14:29
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.34%EV -10.48%E -8.18%K -37.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -11.62%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 14:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.90%EV -9.78%E -7.58%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.67%EV -17.25%E -2.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -11.62%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-22 14:39
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.79%EV -9.08%E -6.98%K -30.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -24.89%E -4.22%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -11.62%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 14:39
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 14:49
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 14:30
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 14:30
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.08%E -6.98%K -30.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 14:49
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.48%E -8.18%K -37.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -4.52%E -0.602%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 14:30
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.78%E -7.58%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -23.61%E -3.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 14:49
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -23.61%E -3.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 14:49
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -23.61%E -3.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -23.61%E -3.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 14:49
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.08%E -6.98%K -30.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -17.25%E -2.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 14:28
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.78%E -7.58%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.25%E -2.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.02%EV -13.97%E -11.36%K -60.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.76%EV -14.07%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.04%EV -9.78%E -7.58%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -20.43%E -3.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 14:40
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 70.13%EV -16.77%E -14.09%K -88.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.84%EV -17.25%E -2.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.03%EV -15.09%E -3.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-22 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.47%EV -9.78%E -7.58%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -10.88%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.10%EV -24.97%E -5.77%K -7.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-22 14:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.92%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-03-22 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.92%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-03-22 14:50
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.92%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-03-22 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-03-22 14:39
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.67%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.69%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%1.8%2026-03-22 14:40