La escuela de los momios

Brondby IF v Viborg FF

Inicio: 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Brondby IF (Local)

Predicción 43.83%2.28momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.08%43.80%43.82%45.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.092.102.2252.63%47.81%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viborg FF (Visitante)

Predicción 29.17%3.43momio equitativo
EV +2.08%
Ventaja +0.596%
Kelly +0.834%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%29.16%29.21%30.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.153.5034.48%31.53%31.75%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.01%3.70momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.339%
Kelly +0.463%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.49%27.04%26.97%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.7533.33%29.34%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.46%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV +2.08%E +0.596%K +0.834%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 16:35
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.46%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV +2.08%E +0.596%K +0.834%G +0.017%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 16:35
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -4.02%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -0.249%E -0.073%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -5.21%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 16:50
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.33%E -2.47%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -0.832%E -0.245%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -1.43%E -0.391%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -5.33%E -2.47%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -0.832%E -0.245%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -1.43%E -0.391%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 16:10
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 16:10
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 16:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:49
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:10
Suprabets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.09%E -3.34%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -4.04%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 15:09
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -6.65%E -3.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.79%EV -4.94%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 16:24
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.34%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV +1.27%E +0.339%K +0.463%G +0.006%4.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 16:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 04:10
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:10
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:10
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -9.72%E -4.72%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 16:10
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -9.72%E -4.72%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 16:30
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -6.21%E -2.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -8.72%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:55
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84%EV -2.70%E -1.22%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.44%EV -5.79%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.72%EV -7.37%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:55
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:35
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -11.47%E -5.68%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 16:10
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 15:05
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 16:55
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 16:54
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:35
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -12.35%E -6.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 16:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 05:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 16:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:55
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:53
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 04:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 15:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -13.22%E -6.68%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.95%EV -11.62%E -3.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -11.42%E -3.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 16:33
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -7.09%E -3.34%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 16:35
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-11 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-11 16:25
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-11 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-11 16:25
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.35%E -6.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 16:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.32%EV -14.10%E -7.19%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.35%E -6.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.98%E -6.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 06:50
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.48%EV -13.22%E -6.68%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.19%EV -13.96%E -4.73%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.93%E -4.74%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-15 16:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -15.42%E -5.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 16:55
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.90%EV -16.73%E -8.80%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -15.42%E -5.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.34%EV -17.63%E -5.78%K -8.60%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-15 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-03-15 16:55