Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Brondby IF v FC Copenhagen

Inicio: 2026-05-21 16:30 UTC

Final: Brondby IF 1–3 FC Copenhagen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Brondby IF (Local)

Predicción 33.73%2.96momio equitativo
EV +4.58%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +2.18%
Crecimiento +0.100%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.79%33.70%33.67%35.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.802.803.1040.00%35.76%35.71%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Copenhagen (Visitante)

Predicción 37.89%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.422%
Kelly -0.684%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.40%37.92%37.95%41.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.402.6145.45%41.55%41.67%38.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.37%3.52momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -0.983%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.32%28.38%28.38%29.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.4434.72%30.94%30.77%29.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Brondby IF (Local): 33.73%; FC Copenhagen (Visitante): 37.89%; Empate: 28.37%. Para Brondby IF (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.96. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.58%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV +4.58%E +1.48%K +2.18%G +0.100%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-21 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%EV +4.58%E +1.48%K +2.18%G +0.100%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-21 16:00
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.79%EV +4.24%E +1.37%K +2.03%G +0.086%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.55%EV -13.23%E -5.78%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.66%EV -2.40%E -0.697%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV +1.20%E +0.402%K +0.602%G +0.007%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 16:20
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV +1.20%E +0.402%K +0.602%G +0.007%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV +1.20%E +0.402%K +0.602%G +0.007%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 16:19
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV +1.20%E +0.402%K +0.602%G +0.007%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 16:20
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV +1.20%E +0.402%K +0.602%G +0.007%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -0.482%E -0.163%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -11.71%E -5.03%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 16:09
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -0.482%E -0.163%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -11.71%E -5.03%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 16:09
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -0.482%E -0.163%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -11.71%E -5.03%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -0.482%E -0.163%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -11.71%E -5.03%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -12.09%E -5.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -2.84%E -0.987%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.98%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -3.25%E -0.953%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-21 16:20
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -2.84%E -0.987%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -2.84%E -0.987%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -2.84%E -0.987%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.61%E -5.97%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -10.63%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.17%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -4.51%E -1.79%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.17%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -4.51%E -1.79%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.86%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:20
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -3.86%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -3.86%E -1.35%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -14.74%E -6.55%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.63%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -5.21%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -7.54%E -3.09%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.51%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 16:19
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 16:20
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:20
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -16.64%E -7.56%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-21 16:19
GTbets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -5.88%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -1.10%E -0.422%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -2.40%E -0.697%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 16:09
Suprabets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.50%EV -5.88%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.00%EV -6.78%E -2.76%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%EV -6.94%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 16:09
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:19
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.01%EV -4.38%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 16:19
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 16:18
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -16.64%E -7.56%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -18.29%E -6.35%K -9.73%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-21 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 16:19
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 16:09
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.61%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 16:09
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-21 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-21 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-21 16:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-21 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 33.50%EV -13.30%E -5.18%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.27%EV -14.74%E -6.55%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.23%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-21 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.98%E -5.48%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-21 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -13.98%E -5.48%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-21 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -9.82%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.04%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-21 15:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-05-21 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-21 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-05-21 16:20
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-05-21 16:20
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-05-21 16:20