Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AC Horsens v SonderjyskE

2026-10-25 15:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AC Horsens (Local)

Prévision 39.75%2.52cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -2.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.53%39.87%39.65%42.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.292.302.4150.00%43.66%43.48%41.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SonderjyskE (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.44%2.99cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.04%33.34%33.49%35.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.60%36.36%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.81%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.786%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.291%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.18%26.79%26.86%28.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.403.7030.77%29.03%29.41%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : AC Horsens (Local) : 39.75% ; SonderjyskE (Visiteur) : 33.44% ; Match nul : 26.81%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.73. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.70, pour une espérance de -0.786% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.51%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -0.786%E -0.212%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 16:19
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -4.60%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.59%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -3.03%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -0.786%E -0.212%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-18 15:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.59%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -3.03%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -0.786%E -0.212%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-18 15:04
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -13.06%E -5.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 16:19
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.60%EV -6.19%E -2.62%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -7.71%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -5.61%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 16:15
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.59%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.39%E -4.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.786%E -0.212%K -0.291%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 16:19
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.59%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 16:24
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.59%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 17:09
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -6.59%E -2.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -13.06%E -5.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.75%EV -6.99%E -2.99%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.43%EV -5.61%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -7.78%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 15:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -7.78%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 15:04
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -7.78%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 15:04
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -7.78%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 15:04
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.03%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 16:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 16:13
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 16:14
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -13.06%E -5.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -13.06%E -5.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 16:19
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 16:09
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -9.37%E -4.11%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 15:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -3.03%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 15:08
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-18 15:04
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-18 15:04
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-18 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -11.36%E -5.09%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 15:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -11.36%E -5.09%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 15:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -11.36%E -5.09%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.55%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -11.39%E -4.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 15:04
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.63%EV -12.55%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -13.06%E -5.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-18 16:34
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.55%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -16.41%E -6.56%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-18 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -15.73%E -7.42%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -7.38%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-18 15:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-18 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -11.39%E -4.30%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-18 15:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.69%EV -20.50%E -10.25%K -20.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.04%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-18 15:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%141.3%2026-10-18 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%141.3%2026-10-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%141.3%2026-10-18 18:20