語言:繁體中文
Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Sao Paulo (主隊)
預測 39.73%2.52公平賠率
EV -2.67%
優勢 -1.09%
Kelly -1.84%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.45
博彩公司預測分布
37.95%39.61%39.63%42.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.122.282.302.4547.17%43.90%43.48%40.82%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Boca Juniors (客隊)
預測 28.17%3.55公平賠率
EV +0.021%
優勢 +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 3.55
博彩公司預測分布
26.60%28.28%28.27%29.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.293.253.5533.33%30.42%30.77%28.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 32.10%3.12公平賠率
EV +1.11%
優勢 +0.351%
Kelly +0.515%
成長率 +0.006%
假設最高賠率為 3.15
博彩公司預測分布
29.95%32.11%32.10%33.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.752.942.953.1536.36%33.99%33.90%31.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Sao Paulo (主隊)：39.73%；Boca Juniors (客隊)：28.17%；和局：32.10%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於3.12的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.15，對應+1.11%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV +1.11%E +0.351%K +0.515%G +0.006% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV +1.11%E +0.351%K +0.515%G +0.006% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV +1.11%E +0.351%K +0.515%G +0.006% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV +1.11%E +0.351%K +0.515%G +0.006% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV +1.11%E +0.351%K +0.515%G +0.006% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -10.12%E -3.17%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -0.498%E -0.161%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.24%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.59%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -11.25%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -15.78%E -7.44%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -15.78%E -7.44%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-16 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -15.78%E -7.44%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -15.78%E -7.44%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.06%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.43%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.56%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.80%E -0.811%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -7.83%E -3.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.43%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.61%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-16 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -2.80%E -0.811%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.73%E -4.27%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.73%E -4.27%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 00:16 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 0.7% | 2026-09-16 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 0.7% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 0.7% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-09-16 00:25 |