L’École des cotesFrançais
Santos v San Lorenzo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Santos (Local)
Prévision 49.98%2.00cote équitable
EV -5.04%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -5.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.28%50.09%50.11%52.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.831.851.9057.47%54.77%54.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
San Lorenzo (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.03%4.76cote équitable
EV +3.03%
Avantage +0.619%
Kelly +0.778%
Croissance +0.024%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.48%20.84%21.06%22.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.464.454.9025.64%22.44%22.47%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.99%3.45cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.423%
Kelly +0.592%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.67%29.07%28.83%29.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.90%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV +3.03%E +0.619%K +0.778%G +0.024% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV +1.48%E +0.423%K +0.592%G +0.009% | 3.0% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.82%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.48%EV +2.61%E +0.535%K +0.673%G +0.018% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -7.22%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -0.121%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -1.42%E -0.417%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -0.121%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -1.42%E -0.417%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -0.121%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -1.42%E -0.417%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -0.121%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -1.42%E -0.417%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -13.04%E -7.49%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -3.28%E -0.712%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -13.04%E -7.49%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -3.28%E -0.712%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -13.04%E -7.49%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -3.28%E -0.712%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -13.04%E -7.49%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -3.28%E -0.712%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.63%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.87%EV -4.12%E -0.903%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -3.16%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.27%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.38%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -2.87%E -0.856%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.38%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.77%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.22%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 21:39 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.48%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.12%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -8.53%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.77%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.12%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 21:28 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.12%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.12%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.95%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.12%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.64%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.22%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.69%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.77%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -11.69%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.12%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.36%EV -13.04%E -7.49%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -13.79%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -10.12%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -15.89%E -3.97%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -13.02%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -17.99%E -4.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -10.12%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 21:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.68% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.38% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94% | 0.2% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |