預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Santos v Clube Atlético Mineiro

開賽時間: 2026-09-09 22:00 UTC

最終賽果: Santos 2–0 Clube Atlético Mineiro

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

29 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Santos (主隊)

預測 44.02%2.27公平賠率
EV -3.17%
優勢 -1.44%
Kelly -2.64%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.20

博彩公司預測分布
43.34%43.96%44.15%45.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.962.082.102.2051.02%48.12%47.62%45.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Clube Atlético Mineiro (客隊)

預測 24.99%4.00公平賠率
EV -0.036%
優勢 -0.009%
Kelly -0.012%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.00

博彩公司預測分布
24.06%25.07%24.84%26.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.703.704.0028.57%27.00%27.03%25.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 30.99%3.23公平賠率
EV +4.14%
優勢 +1.23%
Kelly +1.75%
成長率 +0.073%

假設最高賠率為 3.36

博彩公司預測分布
29.19%30.97%31.01%31.82%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.872.993.003.3634.84%33.47%33.33%29.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Santos (主隊):44.02%;Clube Atlético Mineiro (客隊):24.99%;和局:30.99%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.23的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.36,對應+4.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.49%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.61%EV -4.28%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.19%EV +4.14%E +1.23%K +1.75%G +0.073%2.0%2026-09-09 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -6.69%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -0.036%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -2.37%E -0.753%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.29%EV -4.49%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -2.79%E -0.716%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -3.92%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -3.92%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.92%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 17:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -6.69%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.24%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.78%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.24%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.78%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:55
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.24%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.78%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.24%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.78%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -3.17%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.78%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.13%EV -7.13%E -3.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 13:05
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -8.45%E -4.06%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.57%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -8.57%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 13:05
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -6.69%E -3.15%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -9.50%E -3.25%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 16:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.57%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.77%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.12%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.77%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.66%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.66%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -13.73%E -7.00%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -13.73%E -7.00%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 16:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.77%E -4.76%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.05%E -3.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 12:35
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-09 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-09 16:30
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%1.3%2026-09-09 16:30