La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
River Plate v Carabobo FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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River Plate (Casa)
Previsione 75.40%1.33quota equa
EV -4.99%
Vantaggio -3.96%
Kelly -19.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.00%75.67%75.40%78.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.221.221.2685.47%82.21%81.97%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Carabobo FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 7.64%13.08quota equa
EV +22.32%
Vantaggio +1.39%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescita +0.332%
ipotizzando la quota massima 16.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.11%7.59%7.64%10.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0012.7312.8716.0011.11%7.85%7.77%6.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 16.95%5.90quota equa
EV +11.90%
Vantaggio +1.80%
Kelly +2.12%
Crescita +0.253%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.71%16.73%16.95%18.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.615.506.6021.28%17.83%18.18%15.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.24%EV -5.75%E -4.60%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.11%EV +22.32%E +1.39%K +1.49%G +0.332% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +5.96%E +0.954%K +1.14%G +0.068% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.18%EV -8.76%E -7.24%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.67%E +0.978%K +1.05%G +0.154% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +3.42%E +0.561%K +0.671%G +0.023% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.18%EV -8.76%E -7.24%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.67%E +0.978%K +1.05%G +0.154% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +3.42%E +0.561%K +0.671%G +0.023% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.18%EV -8.76%E -7.24%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.67%E +0.978%K +1.05%G +0.154% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +3.42%E +0.561%K +0.671%G +0.023% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.18%EV -8.76%E -7.24%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +14.67%E +0.978%K +1.05%G +0.154% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +3.42%E +0.561%K +0.671%G +0.023% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -11.78%E -10.07%K -69.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +14.67%E +0.978%K +1.05%G +0.154% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +1.72%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.26%E -5.90%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +7.03%E +0.502%K +0.541%G +0.038% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +1.72%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -11.78%E -10.07%K -69.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV +7.03%E +0.502%K +0.541%G +0.038% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -1.67%E -0.287%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -11.78%E -10.07%K -69.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV +7.03%E +0.502%K +0.541%G +0.038% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -1.67%E -0.287%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -11.78%E -10.07%K -69.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV +7.03%E +0.502%K +0.541%G +0.038% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -1.67%E -0.287%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.30%EV -6.50%E -5.24%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.99%EV +6.26%E +0.451%K +0.486%G +0.030% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.71%EV +11.90%E +1.80%K +2.12%G +0.253% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -9.52%E -7.93%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -0.616%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 00:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.36%EV -4.99%E -3.96%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 12.87I 7.77%NM 7.38%EV -1.61%E -0.125%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -6.50%E -5.24%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV -4.44%E -0.355%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -16.08%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.96%EV -4.99%E -3.96%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -8.26%E -0.688%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 00:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.63%EV -9.52%E -7.93%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -8.26%E -0.688%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-16 00:09 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -4.99%E -3.96%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -15.91%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -8.45%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 00:25 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.01%E -6.57%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -15.91%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.01%E -6.57%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -15.91%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.01%E -6.57%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -15.91%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.01%E -6.57%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -15.91%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 00:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -8.01%E -6.57%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -15.91%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 00:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.84%EV -9.52%E -7.93%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.44%EV -19.73%E -1.88%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.72%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-16 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.38%EV -9.52%E -7.93%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.14%EV -27.37%E -2.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.48%EV -20.32%E -4.32%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-16 00:19 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -5.75%E -4.60%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -31.20%E -3.47%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 00:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.22% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 00:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.73% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.22% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.17% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.17% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.14% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |