La scuola delle quote

Racing Club v Botafogo

Inizio: 2026-04-15 22:00 UTC

Finale: Racing Club 2–3 Botafogo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Racing Club (Casa)

Previsione 51.27%1.95quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.14%51.49%51.27%52.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.811.801.9157.80%55.35%55.56%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.56%4.86quota equa
EV +0.555%
Vantaggio +0.114%
Kelly +0.143%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.42%20.35%20.56%22.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.054.424.404.8924.69%22.63%22.73%20.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.16%3.55quota equa
EV +0.823%
Vantaggio +0.230%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.09%28.17%28.16%28.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.323.303.5832.79%30.14%30.30%27.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.14%EV -9.93%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV +0.823%E +0.230%K +0.319%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-15 21:54
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.20%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 21:30
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV -4.38%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 20:30
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.28%EV -5.66%E -3.07%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:30
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:30
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:29
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 21:54
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.48%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.42%EV +0.555%E +0.114%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -4.81%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:54
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 21:34
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.39%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -10.55%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 21:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 21:54
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -8.73%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -11.58%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -8.73%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -11.58%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -8.73%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -11.58%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 21:29
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.79%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -8.49%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 21:44
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 21:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 21:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 21:54
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 21:54
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.63%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 21:39
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.63%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-15 21:54
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.63%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-15 21:44
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.14%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.42%EV -16.72%E -4.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -14.10%E -4.62%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-15 21:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-15 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-15 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-15 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-04-15 21:54
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-04-15 21:54