赔率学院

Palestino v Grêmio

开赛时间： 2026-04-30 00:30 UTC

最终结果： Palestino 0–0 Grêmio

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Palestino (主队)

预测 28.19%3.55公平赔率
EV -1.34%
优势 -0.383%
Kelly -0.536%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.14%28.08%28.06%29.16%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.55%30.30%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

Grêmio (客队)

预测 41.56%2.41公平赔率
EV -4.41%
优势 -1.92%
Kelly -3.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
40.68%41.62%41.56%43.18%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.102.212.232.3047.62%45.26%44.94%43.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.25%3.31公平赔率
EV -1.68%
优势 -0.517%
Kelly -0.747%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
29.31%30.30%30.38%31.57%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.77%32.79%30.77%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.79%EV -1.34%E -0.383%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.29%EV -4.41%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%EV -1.68%E -0.517%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 08:49
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.383%K -0.536%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.19%E -0.998%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 15:40
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -7.32%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:29
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -7.32%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -7.32%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:29
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -7.32%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Pinnacle3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.56%EV -6.08%E -2.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.40%EV -6.52%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 00:40
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -6.69%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -7.43%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:39
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 00:49
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 00:49
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 00:49
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 08:50
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 08:50
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 08:49
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 08:50
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:45
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:59
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -7.74%E -3.49%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 00:34
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 16:04
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 08:34
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 16:03
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 01:00
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:00
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -14.02%E -4.60%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-21 16:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 29.29%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%16.1%2026-04-22 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.68%170.0%2026-04-23 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.68%170.0%2026-04-23 14:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.68%170.0%2026-04-23 14:40