语言:简体中文
Palestino v Grêmio
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Palestino (主队)
预测 28.19%3.55公平赔率
EV -1.34%
优势 -0.383%
Kelly -0.536%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
27.14%28.08%28.06%29.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.55%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
Grêmio (客队)
预测 41.56%2.41公平赔率
EV -4.41%
优势 -1.92%
Kelly -3.40%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.30
博彩公司预测分布
40.68%41.62%41.56%43.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.212.232.3047.62%45.26%44.94%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.25%3.31公平赔率
EV -1.68%
优势 -0.517%
Kelly -0.747%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.31%30.30%30.38%31.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.77%32.79%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palestino (主队)：28.19%；Grêmio (客队)：41.56%；平局：30.25%。 对于“Palestino (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.55。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.50，期望值为-1.34%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.79%EV -1.34%E -0.383%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.29%EV -4.41%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%EV -1.68%E -0.517%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-21 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.383%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.19%E -0.998%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -7.32%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -7.32%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -7.32%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -7.32%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.56%EV -6.08%E -2.69%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.40%EV -6.52%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -6.69%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -7.43%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 08:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -7.74%E -3.49%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 16:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -14.02%E -4.60%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -15.43%E -5.14%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 29.29% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70% | 16.1% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.68% | 170.0% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.68% | 170.0% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.68% | 170.0% | 2026-04-23 14:40 |