La scuola delle quote

O'Higgins v Sao Paulo

Inizio: 2026-05-07 22:00 UTC

Finale: O'Higgins 0–0 Sao Paulo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

O'Higgins (Casa)

Previsione 37.65%2.66quota equa
EV +2.04%
Vantaggio +0.754%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.09%37.58%37.68%38.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.522.502.7144.44%39.67%40.00%36.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sao Paulo (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.90%3.13quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -0.888%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.97%31.82%31.82%34.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.822.803.0537.74%35.44%35.71%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.45%3.28quota equa
EV -1.05%
Vantaggio -0.323%
Kelly -0.467%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.42%30.61%30.51%31.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.043.053.2534.72%32.93%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.09%EV +2.04%E +0.754%K +1.20%G +0.024%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.33%EV -11.64%E -4.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 21:55
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.00%EV +1.67%E +0.618%K +0.981%G +0.016%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90%EV -1.05%E -0.323%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 21:55
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.83%EV -0.968%E -0.368%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -12.28%E -4.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 21:55
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.83%EV -0.968%E -0.368%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -12.28%E -4.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 21:54
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.83%EV -0.968%E -0.368%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -12.28%E -4.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 21:55
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.83%EV -0.968%E -0.368%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -12.28%E -4.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 21:55
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -15.47%E -5.84%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:55
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -15.47%E -5.84%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:54
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -15.47%E -5.84%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:55
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -15.47%E -5.84%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 21:54
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.30%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 21:50
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:53
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 21:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 21:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -8.45%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 21:55
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.62%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.24%EV -2.71%E -0.888%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.34%EV -4.40%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 21:55
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -10.68%E -3.82%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-07 21:54
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.28%E -4.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-07 21:54
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.87%E -5.14%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 21:55
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.68%E -3.82%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:40
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -10.38%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -4.94%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 21:44
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -15.28%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -10.68%E -3.82%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-07 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-05-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-05-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-05-07 21:55
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-05-07 21:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.54%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.85%2.9%2026-05-07 21:55