Lingua:Italiano
Independiente Santa Fe v Vasco da Gama
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Independiente Santa Fe (Casa)
Previsione 42.06%2.38quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.491%
Kelly -0.855%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.70%42.01%42.16%43.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.222.212.3546.51%45.11%45.25%42.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Vasco da Gama (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.20%3.97quota equa
EV -0.714%
Vantaggio -0.181%
Kelly -0.243%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.75%25.30%25.14%27.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.633.633.9429.41%27.58%27.59%25.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 32.74%3.05quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.85%32.69%32.70%33.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.802.832.9438.02%35.66%35.40%34.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Independiente Santa Fe (Casa): 42.06%; Vasco da Gama (Trasferta): 25.20%; Pareggio: 32.74%. Per Vasco da Gama (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.97. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.94, con un valore atteso del -0.714%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.17%EV -1.15%E -0.491%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.18%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.11%EV -3.49%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.71%EV -3.75%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.00%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.00%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.00%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.00%EV -4.10%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.39%EV -4.94%E -2.19%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.57%EV -1.72%E -0.442%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.24%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.26%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.95%EV -8.99%E -3.23%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -8.73%E -4.02%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -8.73%E -4.02%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -8.73%E -4.02%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -13.24%E -5.00%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.53%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.75%EV -0.714%E -0.181%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.72%EV -6.37%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.61%E -4.30%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.12%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.90%E -5.28%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.55% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.55% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66% | 1.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |