Langue:Français
Clube Atlético Mineiro v Santos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Clube Atlético Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 49.05%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -4.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.29%49.08%49.10%52.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.851.9657.80%54.05%54.05%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Santos (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.80%4.20cote équitable
EV +9.47%
Avantage +2.06%
Kelly +2.63%
Croissance +0.249%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.99%23.81%23.47%25.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.993.954.6027.78%25.05%25.32%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -0.872%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%27.11%27.43%27.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.453.6031.25%29.50%28.99%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Clube Atlético Mineiro (Local) : 49.05% ; Santos (Visiteur) : 23.80% ; Match nul : 27.15%. Pour Santos (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.20. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +9.47%.
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV +9.47%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.249% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-16 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -11.21%E -6.20%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV +3.52%E +0.810%K +1.05%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -11.21%E -6.20%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV +3.52%E +0.810%K +1.05%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -11.21%E -6.20%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV +3.52%E +0.810%K +1.05%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -11.21%E -6.20%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV +3.52%E +0.810%K +1.05%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.84%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.68%EV +0.904%E +0.213%K +0.279%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 21:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.07%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 21:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -15.14%E -8.75%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -15.14%E -8.75%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -15.14%E -8.75%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -15.14%E -8.75%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.27%E -4.42%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 21:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-16 21:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.46%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.06%EV -4.71%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.47%EV -13.18%E -7.44%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.23%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 21:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 21:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |