默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Clube Atlético Mineiro v Bragantino-SP

开赛时间: 2026-08-19 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Clube Atlético Mineiro 2–2 Bragantino-SP

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Clube Atlético Mineiro (主队)

预测 39.21%2.55公平赔率
EV -3.93%
优势 -1.60%
Kelly -2.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
38.25%39.24%39.32%42.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.212.332.322.4545.25%43.01%43.10%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bragantino-SP (客队)

预测 31.11%3.21公平赔率
EV +1.09%
优势 +0.336%
Kelly +0.486%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.76%31.08%31.02%31.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.993.003.2535.71%33.44%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.68%3.37公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -0.714%
Kelly -1.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.29

博彩公司预测分布
28.55%29.68%29.66%30.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.103.103.2933.90%32.29%32.26%30.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Clube Atlético Mineiro (主队):39.21%;Bragantino-SP (客队):31.11%;平局:29.68%。 对于“Bragantino-SP (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.21。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.25,对应+1.09%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -13.34%E -6.04%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV +1.09%E +0.336%K +0.486%G +0.005%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -4.13%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.19%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%EV -0.462%E -0.144%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%EV -3.54%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 21:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.57%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -3.54%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 19:14
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.16%EV -7.06%E -2.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.90%EV -4.19%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.93%EV -2.35%E -0.714%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:50
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.63%E -3.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -5.13%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.63%E -3.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -5.13%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 21:15
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.63%E -3.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -5.13%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -8.63%E -3.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -5.13%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 21:10
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.46%EV -9.02%E -3.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -5.13%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.54%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 21:35
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 21:55
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.85%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 21:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 21:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.68%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -4.32%E -1.77%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 21:35
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.85%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.80%EV -12.55%E -5.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.80%EV -12.55%E -5.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 21:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.80%EV -12.55%E -5.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.80%EV -12.55%E -5.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.79%E -3.38%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 21:15
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -11.35%E -3.98%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -12.44%E -4.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 21:35
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.90%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 21:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-08-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-08-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-08-19 21:55
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-08-19 21:55