语言:简体中文
Club Cienciano v FBC Melgar
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Club Cienciano (主队)
预测 42.07%2.38公平赔率
EV +7.27%
优势 +2.85%
Kelly +4.69%
增长率 +0.341%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
34.60%41.80%42.09%43.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.202.182.5548.31%45.40%45.87%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
FBC Melgar (客队)
预测 29.29%3.41公平赔率
EV -0.417%
优势 -0.123%
Kelly -0.174%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
28.01%29.53%29.62%36.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.333.093.233.4042.92%32.31%30.96%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.65%3.49公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -0.766%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.23%28.67%28.29%30.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.923.273.253.4034.25%30.62%30.77%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Club Cienciano (主队)：42.07%；FBC Melgar (客队)：29.29%；平局：28.65%。 对于“Club Cienciano (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.38。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.55，对应+7.27%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +7.27%E +2.85%K +4.69%G +0.341% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -22.38%E -8.45%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.04%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 19:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.60%EV +3.06%E +1.25%K +2.11%G +0.065% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 36.38%EV -31.76%E -13.63%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.03%EV -16.36%E -5.60%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.04%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.07%EV -5.77%E -2.58%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.30%EV -2.47%E -0.741%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.63%EV -8.91%E -2.80%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -6.61%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -9.77%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -6.61%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.11%EV -7.04%E -3.18%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.81%EV -5.40%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.04%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.417%E -0.123%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.61%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.86%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -1.88%E -0.562%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.61%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.86%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -1.88%E -0.562%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.61%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.86%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -1.88%E -0.562%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.61%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.86%EV -9.14%E -4.23%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -1.88%E -0.562%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.61%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -15.65%E -5.43%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -11.66%E -5.55%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -12.92%E -6.24%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -12.92%E -6.24%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -12.92%E -6.24%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05% | 1.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |