La scuola delle quote

Carabobo FC v Bragantino-SP

Inizio: 2026-04-10 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Carabobo FC (Casa)

Previsione 30.47%3.28quota equa
EV +12.76%
Vantaggio +3.45%
Kelly +4.72%
Crescita +0.603%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.40%30.52%30.47%31.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.213.103.7034.48%31.14%32.26%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bragantino-SP (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.46%2.67quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.46%37.32%37.46%41.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.392.402.5745.45%41.87%41.67%38.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.06%3.12quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -0.724%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.54%32.16%32.06%33.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.872.873.0536.36%34.90%34.90%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +12.76%E +3.45%K +4.72%G +0.603%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.57%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 00:25
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +8.18%E +2.31%K +3.21%G +0.263%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -14.58%E -6.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 00:25
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +8.18%E +2.31%K +3.21%G +0.263%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -14.58%E -6.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 00:25
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +8.18%E +2.31%K +3.21%G +0.263%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -14.58%E -6.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 00:25
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +8.18%E +2.31%K +3.21%G +0.263%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -14.58%E -6.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 00:25
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV +5.14%E +1.49%K +2.10%G +0.108%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -16.46%E -7.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 00:25
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV +5.14%E +1.49%K +2.10%G +0.108%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -17.58%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 00:25
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV +5.14%E +1.49%K +2.10%G +0.108%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -17.58%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV +5.14%E +1.49%K +2.10%G +0.108%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -17.58%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 00:25
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.29%EV +0.870%E +0.263%K +0.377%G +0.003%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.73%EV -3.72%E -1.45%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.98%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 00:24
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.11%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -3.17%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 00:20
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 00:23
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 00:23
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 00:24
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 00:25
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 00:25
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 00:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 00:25
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 00:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 00:15
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -9.19%E -3.08%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.76%EV -5.59%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 00:25
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -8.22%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 00:24
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.84%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 00:15
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.55%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-10 00:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-04-10 00:25
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-04-10 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-10 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%1.4%2026-04-10 00:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-04-10 00:25