赔率学院

Peñarol Montevideo v Platense

开赛时间: 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Peñarol Montevideo (主队)

预测 56.22%1.78公平赔率
EV -5.55%
优势 -3.31%
Kelly -8.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
54.89%56.22%56.12%57.87%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.501.611.611.6866.67%62.23%62.11%59.52%MIN均值中位数MAX

Platense (客队)

预测 17.97%5.56公平赔率
EV -1.14%
优势 -0.207%
Kelly -0.253%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
16.94%17.97%17.85%19.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.404.995.005.5022.73%20.03%20.00%18.18%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 25.81%3.87公平赔率
EV +2.97%
优势 +0.744%
Kelly +0.993%
增长率 +0.029%

假设最高赔率为 3.99

博彩公司预测分布
24.09%25.81%26.03%26.81%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.303.593.603.9930.30%27.86%27.78%25.06%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.21%EV -5.55%E -3.31%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.70%EV -7.61%E -1.48%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.09%EV +2.97%E +0.744%K +0.993%G +0.029%4.0%2026-03-23 12:29
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -1.14%E -0.207%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 01:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.93%E -5.51%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-23 08:24
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.72%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-23 08:24
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.72%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-23 08:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.49%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -13.72%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-23 08:24
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.63%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.74%E -7.48%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.13%E -2.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 01:35
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.24%E -4.39%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -2.94%E -0.544%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 18:49
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.24%E -4.39%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -2.94%E -0.544%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 18:49
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.63%EV -15.67%E -10.45%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.95%EV -8.33%E -1.63%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-22 01:34
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.30%EV -12.30%E -7.88%K -21.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.17%EV -19.11%E -4.25%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.78%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-21 12:26
Parions Sport (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 54.89%EV -12.86%E -8.30%K -23.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.33%EV -20.91%E -4.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.78%EV -14.84%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-21 09:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。