La escuela de los momios

LDU Quito v Club Always Ready

Inicio: 2026-05-26 22:00 UTC

Final: LDU Quito 3–2 Club Always Ready

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

LDU Quito (Local)

Predicción 71.05%1.41momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.891%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.49%71.06%70.91%73.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.301.3980.00%76.46%76.92%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Club Always Ready (Visitante)

Predicción 11.46%8.72momio equitativo
EV +8.91%
Ventaja +0.938%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.093%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.14%11.66%11.50%13.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.108.009.5015.38%12.34%12.50%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.48%5.72momio equitativo
EV +5.61%
Ventaja +0.929%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.71%17.28%17.60%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.315.356.0422.22%18.83%18.69%16.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.30%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.27%EV +8.91%E +0.938%K +1.05%G +0.093%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%EV -2.08%E -0.372%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 21:40
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 72.30%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.27%EV +8.91%E +0.938%K +1.05%G +0.093%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%EV -2.08%E -0.372%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 21:40
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 73.91%EV -9.05%E -7.07%K -32.34%G +0.000%9.23I 10.83%NM 10.25%EV +5.81%E +0.630%K +0.706%G +0.041%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.85%EV +4.38%E +0.734%K +0.882%G +0.039%5.7%2026-05-26 21:50
Suprabets1.27I 78.74%NM 73.61%EV -9.77%E -7.69%K -36.17%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.27%EV +4.32%E +0.475%K +0.534%G +0.023%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.41%E +0.243%K +0.294%G +0.004%7.0%2026-05-26 21:49
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +4.91%E +0.818%K +0.982%G +0.048%4.7%2026-05-26 21:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.34%E -6.47%K -28.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.91%E +0.818%K +0.982%G +0.048%5.3%2026-05-26 21:49
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.19%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 21:40
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.19%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 21:40
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.19%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 21:50
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.19%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 21:40
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -9.05%E -7.07%K -32.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV +0.538%E +0.094%K +0.113%G +0.001%6.6%2026-05-26 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -8.34%E -6.47%K -28.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 21:40
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.46%EV -10.48%E -8.31%K -40.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:40
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.46%EV -10.48%E -8.31%K -40.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.46%EV -10.48%E -8.31%K -40.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV +3.18%E +0.353%K +0.397%G +0.013%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:40
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.63%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV +0.311%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.48%EV -4.71%E -0.864%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.63%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV +0.311%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.48%EV -4.71%E -0.864%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 19:00
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.63%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV +0.311%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.48%EV -4.71%E -0.864%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 18:59
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.25%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.33%EV -4.85%E -0.584%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 21:50
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.25%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.33%EV -4.85%E -0.584%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 21:49
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 20:10
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 21:50
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.05%E -7.07%K -32.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.852%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 21:40
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 21:50
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 21:40
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 21:50
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.19%E -8.95%K -44.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -8.29%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.32%E -4.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-26 21:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.19%E -8.95%K -44.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.02%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-26 21:39
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -6.21%E -4.71%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.37%EV -15.17%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 21:40
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.21%EV -1.24%E -0.891%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.23%EV -16.66%E -2.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.56%EV -4.18%E -0.763%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.75%EV -9.05%E -7.07%K -32.34%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.40%EV -17.46%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-26 21:49
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.83%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.46%EV -19.18%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.71%EV +5.61%E +0.929%K +1.11%G +0.062%5.4%2026-05-26 21:49
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -19.75%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV -2.08%E -0.372%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 21:50
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -19.75%E -2.82%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 21:40
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.59%EV -4.79%E -3.58%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -21.47%E -3.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -2.96%E -0.533%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -6.92%E -5.28%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -22.62%E -3.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.33%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -25.48%E -3.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.07%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -25.48%E -3.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.07%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 21:00
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -25.48%E -3.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.07%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 20:59
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -5.50%E -4.14%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -25.48%E -3.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.07%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.83%EV -9.05%E -7.07%K -32.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -25.48%E -3.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -12.58%E -2.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-26 21:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.83%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.3%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.83%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.3%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.83%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.60%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.3%2026-05-26 21:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%1.4%2026-05-26 21:50