L’École des cotes

Coquimbo Unido v Deportes Tolima

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 22:00 UTC

Score final : Coquimbo Unido 3–0 Deportes Tolima

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prévision 44.03%2.27cote équitable
EV -0.054%
Avantage -0.024%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.97%43.92%44.07%45.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.122.2750.00%46.97%47.17%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportes Tolima (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.19%3.97cote équitable
EV +2.54%
Avantage +0.624%
Kelly +0.828%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.56%25.27%25.16%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.604.0732.26%27.78%27.78%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.78%3.25cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.473%
Kelly +0.679%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.56%30.81%30.77%31.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.053.3036.36%33.02%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.78%EV -5.34%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.65%EV +2.54%E +0.624%K +0.828%G +0.021%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 21:50
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.00%EV -7.10%E -3.36%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV +1.53%E +0.381%K +0.506%G +0.008%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -7.06%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Suprabets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -8.42%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.93%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.74%E -0.447%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 21:49
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.34%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 21:49
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.34%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 21:40
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 21:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 21:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 21:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 21:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 21:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -6.66%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 21:50
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -3.14%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 21:20
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.71%EV -4.02%E -1.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:20
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.71%EV -4.02%E -1.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 21:20
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.66%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -8.29%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 21:40
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.66%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -8.29%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 21:40
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 42.69%EV -0.054%E -0.024%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -7.03%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.06%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 21:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.34%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.84%EV -7.98%E -3.82%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.35%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -8.54%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.61%EV -8.59%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 21:49
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.35%EV -0.934%E -0.415%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.56%EV +1.56%E +0.473%K +0.679%G +0.011%2.5%2026-05-19 21:50
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.35%EV -0.934%E -0.415%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.56%EV +1.56%E +0.473%K +0.679%G +0.011%2.5%2026-05-19 21:50
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -3.14%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 21:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.74%E -4.75%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.67%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.94%E -5.97%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -13.08%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -13.08%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -13.08%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -4.46%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -13.08%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -4.90%E -2.27%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -13.08%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -3.14%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 21:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.14%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -3.14%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.67%E -4.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-19 21:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.94%E -5.97%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -14.34%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-19 21:50
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -15.60%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -15.60%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -15.60%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.34%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -16.86%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.34%E -2.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -16.86%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -7.54%E -3.59%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -21.90%E -7.06%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.36%E -5.59%K -8.78%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-19 21:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%0.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%0.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%0.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-05-19 21:50