La escuela de los momios

Club Bolívar v Independiente Rivadavia

Inicio: 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

Final: Club Bolívar 1–3 Independiente Rivadavia

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Bolívar (Local)

Predicción 36.73%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.95%36.83%36.65%38.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.68%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)

Predicción 35.98%2.78momio equitativo
EV +0.745%
Ventaja +0.266%
Kelly +0.414%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.63%35.94%35.98%37.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.8041.67%38.74%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.29%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.486%
Kelly -0.673%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.17%27.23%27.37%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.173.393.403.6031.55%29.47%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV +0.745%E +0.266%K +0.414%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%EV -1.75%E -0.486%K -0.673%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-28 00:19
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV +0.745%E +0.266%K +0.414%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%EV -1.75%E -0.486%K -0.673%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-28 00:19
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -1.05%E -0.383%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 00:20
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 00:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.92%E -3.59%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.92%E -3.59%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.92%E -3.59%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -8.92%E -3.59%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -8.92%E -3.59%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 00:19
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 00:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.65%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -3.11%E -0.877%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:19
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.24%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -5.73%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 00:20
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.45%E -2.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -5.73%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 00:19
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.45%E -2.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -5.73%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 00:19
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.36%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.36%EV -6.09%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.27%EV -5.02%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:19
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 00:19
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 00:19
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 00:19
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-28 00:19
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 00:19
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 00:19
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.45%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 00:19
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.42%EV -5.98%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.00%EV -6.81%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -7.75%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Suprabets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.37%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.23%EV -7.17%E -2.78%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 00:19
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.98%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -7.89%E -3.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.18%EV -6.39%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:10
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.75%E -0.486%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 23:39
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 00:20
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -8.25%E -3.24%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 00:19
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.51%EV -8.61%E -3.39%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -2.02%E -0.563%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.51%EV -8.61%E -3.39%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -2.02%E -0.563%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:39
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.38%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.94%EV -8.97%E -3.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.68%EV -13.48%E -4.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 00:20
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 00:19
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 00:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-28 00:19
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-28 00:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-28 00:19
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.05%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-28 00:20
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -4.51%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 00:18
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-27 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.65%E -5.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.69%E -5.83%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -13.65%E -5.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-28 00:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.88%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.88%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-05-28 00:20
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.84%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-28 00:20