L’École des cotes

Barcelona SC v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC

Score final : Barcelona SC 1–2 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barcelona SC (Local)

Prévision 44.40%2.25cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.38%44.37%44.56%45.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.092.102.2051.55%47.90%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.47%3.78cote équitable
EV -0.749%
Avantage -0.200%
Kelly -0.272%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.38%26.48%26.30%28.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.503.7533.33%28.99%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.13%3.43cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -0.771%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.05%29.15%29.15%30.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.173.203.3735.71%31.54%31.25%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.38%EV -2.32%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -0.749%E -0.200%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 18:49
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.38%EV -2.32%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -0.749%E -0.200%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 18:50
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.67%EV -4.54%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -5.25%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.50%EV -1.83%E -0.542%K -0.771%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 16:44
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -4.54%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.719%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 20:56
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.54%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 12:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.54%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 15:35
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.22%EV -4.45%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:35
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -3.40%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 18:50
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -4.45%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -4.45%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -6.20%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.89%EV -7.10%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:14
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:49
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:49
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:49
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -0.749%E -0.200%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.24%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 22:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.65%EV -7.20%E -3.45%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -6.20%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 15:35
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 10:00
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 10:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.24%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 00:09
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:50
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 20:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 20:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 20:48
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 12:40
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.26%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.65%EV -9.11%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 11:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -11.20%E -5.60%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -17.95%E -5.79%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -18.43%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 01:24
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.91%EV -12.09%E -6.10%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.05%EV -17.95%E -5.79%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.05%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-23 11:09
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.99%EV -13.86%E -7.14%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.93%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-24 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -13.86%E -7.14%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.60%E -6.87%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-23 11:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%14.1%2026-04-23 11:10