赔率学院

Barcelona SC v Botafogo

开赛时间： 2026-03-04 00:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Barcelona SC (主队)

预测 37.85%2.64公平赔率
EV +0.296%
优势 +0.112%
Kelly +0.179%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.94%37.72%37.92%38.85%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.302.472.482.6543.48%40.48%40.32%37.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

Botafogo (客队)

预测 31.22%3.20公平赔率
EV +0.227%
优势 +0.071%
Kelly +0.103%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.21

博彩公司预测分布
29.66%31.32%31.17%33.32%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.702.952.903.2137.04%33.95%34.48%31.15%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.93%3.23公平赔率
EV +1.14%
优势 +0.348%
Kelly +0.501%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 3.27

博彩公司预测分布
29.42%30.96%30.91%32.34%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.802.993.003.2735.71%33.40%33.33%30.58%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 38.33%EV -4.25%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.01%EV -5.39%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.66%EV +1.14%E +0.348%K +0.501%G +0.006%3.1%2026-03-04 00:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -1.60%E -0.614%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.09%EV -10.08%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -2.57%E -0.817%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:35
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -1.60%E -0.614%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.09%EV -10.08%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -2.57%E -0.817%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -1.60%E -0.614%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.09%EV -10.08%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -2.57%E -0.817%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:35
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.57%E -0.817%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 23:35
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 22:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 00:10
GTbets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.42%EV -4.62%E -1.84%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.75%EV -7.27%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.82%EV -5.36%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:20
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:15
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV +0.296%E +0.112%K +0.179%G +0.001%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 21:25
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:20
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 00:09
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 00:20
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -6.14%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -14.14%E -5.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 22:45
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -6.14%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -14.14%E -5.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 22:45
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -0.085%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -8.14%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -0.085%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -8.14%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:20
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.25%EV -5.76%E -2.31%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV +0.227%E +0.071%K +0.103%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -8.14%E -2.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:20
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -1.65%E -0.523%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 00:20
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 37.35%EV -8.79%E -3.65%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -12.95%E -5.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -15.70%E -5.81%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Suprabets2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -8.03%E -3.30%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.83%EV -2.27%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 00:19
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -8.03%E -3.30%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 00:20
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -8.41%E -3.47%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -9.69%E -3.32%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -8.41%E -3.47%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.77%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -9.69%E -3.32%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:20
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -1.65%E -0.523%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:20
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-04 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-04 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -12.19%E -5.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -14.14%E -5.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-04 00:09
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.33%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -11.23%E -3.91%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -12.95%E -5.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.14%E -5.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-04 00:09
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 00:09
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-04 00:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93%1.9%2026-03-04 00:20