La escuela de los momios

Wuhan Three Towns v Zhejiang

Inicio: 2026-04-21 11:35 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 2–0 Zhejiang

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Predicción 35.04%2.85momio equitativo
EV +2.31%
Ventaja +0.791%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.43%35.17%34.78%38.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.602.602.9243.48%38.51%38.46%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Predicción 38.93%2.57momio equitativo
EV +0.055%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.13%38.78%39.23%40.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.382.5745.45%41.81%42.02%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.03%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.285%
Kelly -0.387%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.96%26.05%26.00%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.553.8032.26%28.56%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV +2.31%E +0.791%K +1.20%G +0.028%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -8.12%E -3.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 11:30
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV +2.31%E +0.791%K +1.20%G +0.028%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -8.12%E -3.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 11:30
BetUS2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV +2.31%E +0.791%K +1.20%G +0.028%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -8.12%E -3.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 11:30
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.96%EV -0.144%E -0.050%K -0.078%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.81%EV -8.12%E -3.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:28
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -3.30%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -8.51%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -10.45%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:30
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 11:30
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 11:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 11:30
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 11:30
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -4.70%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.44%EV +0.055%E +0.022%K +0.035%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 11:20
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 11:25
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 11:30
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:25
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.54%EV -6.10%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -8.51%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 11:30
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.04%EV -6.45%E -2.42%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.98%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.20%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 11:25
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.20%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 11:29
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 11:30
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 11:30
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.38%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 11:04
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.90%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.31%EV -6.95%E -2.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -4.62%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 11:05
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -4.62%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 11:05
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 10:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -14.35%E -6.52%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.35%E -6.52%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.30%E -6.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-21 11:25
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.723%E -0.284%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.723%E -0.284%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.723%E -0.284%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.723%E -0.284%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:30
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.723%E -0.284%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:30
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.723%E -0.284%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:30
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.723%E -0.284%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.723%E -0.284%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.64%EV -14.86%E -6.11%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 10:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.88%EV -16.61%E -6.98%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -3.45%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 10:30
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.88%EV -16.61%E -6.98%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -3.45%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 10:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -17.66%E -7.52%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -4.62%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -1.08%E -0.285%K -0.387%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 11:30
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -19.41%E -8.44%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-21 11:30
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-04-21 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-04-21 11:30
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-21 11:30