Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wuhan Three Towns v Qingdao West Coast FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 11:00 UTC

Score final : Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Qingdao West Coast FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prévision 49.98%2.00cote équitable
EV -4.53%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -4.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.86%50.02%49.97%51.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.27%54.05%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.70%4.22cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -0.686%
Kelly -0.908%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%23.73%23.68%24.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.79%25.64%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.31%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.481%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.25%26.35%26.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.503.503.7530.30%28.57%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wuhan Three Towns (Local) : 49.98% ; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visiteur) : 23.70% ; Match nul : 26.31%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -1.32% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.08%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.50%EV -3.53%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.42%EV -4.74%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 11:05
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.65%EV -4.24%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.32%EV -4.48%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:04
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:05
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.05%EV -7.32%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 02:20
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 11:04
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -3.95%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:04
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:07
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.03%E -3.78%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 14:39
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.32%E -0.353%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 14:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 14:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 14:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:14
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 10:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -2.81%E -0.686%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 10:53
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 10:53
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.11%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 14:09
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.11%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.67%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-03 23:04
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.67%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-03 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.34%EV -9.03%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.03%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.30%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -9.03%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.55%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -13.48%E -3.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -14.67%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.05%EV -11.03%E -6.20%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.11%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -12.30%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-02 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -12.30%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-02 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-09-04 14:10