La escuela de los momios

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Dalian Yingbo

Inicio: 2026-05-31 11:00 UTC

Final: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–0 Dalian Yingbo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Predicción 32.22%3.10momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.679%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%32.18%32.13%33.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.852.853.0438.02%35.06%35.09%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dalian Yingbo (Visitante)

Predicción 38.70%2.58momio equitativo
EV -0.165%
Ventaja -0.064%
Kelly -0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.71%38.70%40.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.392.392.5847.62%41.88%41.84%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.09%3.44momio equitativo
EV -4.01%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%29.11%29.17%30.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.103.3035.71%31.98%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -2.06%E -0.679%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.14%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.01%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 10:50
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.07%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 10:49
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -4.00%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 10:50
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -4.00%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -5.58%E -2.29%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 10:50
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -4.00%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -7.50%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 10:50
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -4.96%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 10:49
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.96%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.07%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 10:40
GTbets2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -5.61%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.25%EV -0.165%E -0.064%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.94%EV -6.62%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 10:50
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.60%EV -5.61%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.73%EV -7.52%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -9.24%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 10:50
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 08:40
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 10:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 10:49
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 10:49
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 10:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 10:49
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 10:49
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 10:50
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -18.74%E -8.92%K -17.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -18.55%E -6.63%K -10.31%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-31 10:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.01%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 10:49
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 10:50
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 07:50
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 07:50
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 07:50
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 07:50
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 07:50
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 07:50
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.70%EV -8.29%E -3.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 10:50
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.19%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.07%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.01%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 10:50
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 10:40
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 10:48
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -5.97%E -2.46%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 07:50
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -5.97%E -2.46%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -11.28%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 07:50
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 10:50
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.07%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-31 10:30
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.80%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-31 10:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 10:50
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 10:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 07:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.41%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 07:50
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-31 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.93%E -5.75%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-31 10:50
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-31 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -7.13%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-31 10:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-31 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-31 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-31 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-31 10:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-05-31 10:50