La escuela de los momios

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Dalian Yingbo

Inicio: 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Predicción 52.46%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -4.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.68%52.41%52.68%55.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.741.751.8461.35%57.48%57.14%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dalian Yingbo (Visitante)

Predicción 23.33%4.29momio equitativo
EV +0.304%
Ventaja +0.071%
Kelly +0.092%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.31%23.42%23.19%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.993.984.3028.17%25.05%25.16%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.33%24.17%24.13%26.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.803.804.0030.77%26.33%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.304%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.304%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.304%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.304%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.304%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.304%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV +0.304%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -12.92%E -7.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV +0.304%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 52.75%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.64%EV -1.10%E -0.258%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 10:45
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.68%EV -3.48%E -1.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -3.13%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 10:44
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.68%EV -3.48%E -1.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -3.13%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 10:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.13%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 10:09
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.03%EV -14.50%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 10:30
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.03%EV -14.50%E -8.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 10:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.88%EV -2.73%E -0.654%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.10%EV -4.10%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 10:44
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.57%EV -6.10%E -3.41%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -3.19%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:41
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.42%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.39%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 10:44
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -5.53%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:44
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:44
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:43
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:29
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:44
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.73%E -5.01%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:44
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:44
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:44
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:43
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:44
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:44
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:44
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:44
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.61%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -7.68%E -4.36%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 10:44
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 10:44
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -13.69%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:44
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.69%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.69%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:44
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.36%EV -12.92%E -7.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -13.69%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 10:44
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:44
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -12.40%E -7.42%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -21.30%E -6.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 10:44
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -9.77%E -5.68%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -17.19%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -11.61%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 10:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-04 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-04-04 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-04-04 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-04-04 10:44